Market comparison

Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round)

2 venues · 51 outcome rows · 14 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

121 outcomes · $462K reported volume

Observed 21s ago

Recorded venue end date: Apr 19, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

14 outcomes · $17K reported volume

Observed 21s ago

Recorded venue end date: Apr 18, 2028

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round)
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Bruno Retailleau Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.9% Bid 5.8% · Ask 6.1% Bruno Retailleau Open Polymarket ↗ 1.4% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.4% Bruno Retailleau Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Bruno Retailleau Open Kalshi ↗	—
David Lisnard Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	14.8% Bid 14.2% · Ask 15.3% David Lisnard Open Polymarket ↗ 11.4% Bid 10.5% · Ask 12.3% David Lisnard Open Polymarket ↗	12.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 17.0% David Lisnard Open Kalshi ↗	—
Dominique de Villepin Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0% Dominique de Villepin Open Polymarket ↗ 0.3% Bid — · Ask 0.5% Dominique de Villepin Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Dominique de Villepin Open Kalshi ↗	—
douard Philippe Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	37.5% Bid 36.0% · Ask 39.0% Édouard Philippe Open Polymarket ↗ 29.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 30.0% Édouard Philippe Open Polymarket ↗	25.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 27.0% Édouard Philippe Open Kalshi ↗	—
François Hollande Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.8% Bid 4.2% · Ask 5.4% François Hollande Open Polymarket ↗ 1.5% Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.5% François Hollande Open Polymarket ↗	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% François Hollande Open Kalshi ↗	—
François Ruffin Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.1% Bid 3.5% · Ask 4.7% François Ruffin Open Polymarket ↗ 0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% François Ruffin Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% François Ruffin Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gabriel Attal Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.1% Bid 4.3% · Ask 5.8% Gabriel Attal Open Polymarket ↗ 0.9% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.5% Gabriel Attal Open Polymarket ↗	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0% Gabriel Attal Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jean-Luc Mélenchon Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	43.0% Bid 41.0% · Ask 45.0% Jean-Luc Mélenchon Open Polymarket ↗ 35.5% Bid 34.0% · Ask 37.0% Jean-Luc Mélenchon Open Polymarket ↗	29.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 35.0% Jean-Luc Mélenchon Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jordan Bardella Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0% Jordan Bardella Open Polymarket ↗ 0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Jordan Bardella Open Polymarket ↗	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Jordan Bardella Open Kalshi ↗	—
Marine Le Pen Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	90.0% Bid 89.0% · Ask 91.0% Marine Le Pen Open Polymarket ↗ 11.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0% Marine Le Pen Open Polymarket ↗	14.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 18.0% Marine Le Pen Open Kalshi ↗	—
Marine Tondelier Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.9% Bid 1.2% · Ask 2.7% Marine Tondelier Open Polymarket ↗ 0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Marine Tondelier Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Marine Tondelier Open Kalshi ↗	—
Raphaël Glucksmann Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	11.5% Bid 9.6% · Ask 13.4% Raphaël Glucksmann Open Polymarket ↗ 11.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0% Raphaël Glucksmann Open Polymarket ↗	11.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 11.0% Raphaël Glucksmann Open Kalshi ↗	—
ric Zemmour Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.5% Bid 4.2% · Ask 4.8% Éric Zemmour Open Polymarket ↗ 0.5% Bid — · Ask 1.0% Éric Zemmour Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Éric Zemmour Open Kalshi ↗	—
Xavier Bertrand Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.4% Bid 0.8% · Ask 2.0% Xavier Bertrand Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Xavier Bertrand Open Kalshi ↗	0.4 pp
Andrey Gyurov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	96.1% Bid 94.6% · Ask 97.6% Andrey Gyurov Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Atanas Atanasov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid — · Ask 0.9% Atanas Atanasov Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Bernard Cazeneuve Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.7% Bid 3.2% · Ask 4.2% Bernard Cazeneuve Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Blagomir Kotsev Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.7% Blagomir Kotsev Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Boyko Borissov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Boyko Borissov Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Carole Delga Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.4% Bid 2.2% · Ask 2.5% Carole Delga Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Christine Lagarde Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Christine Lagarde Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Clémence Guetté Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 0.8% · Ask 4.2% Clémence Guetté Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Clémentine Autain Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 1.2% · Ask 3.0% Clémentine Autain Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Delyan Peevski Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.7% Delyan Peevski Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Fabien Roussel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 2.7% · Ask 3.9% Fabien Roussel Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
François Asselineau Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 3.8% · Ask 4.2% François Asselineau Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
François Bayrou Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 3.2% · Ask 3.4% François Bayrou Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Gérald Darmanin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.1% Bid 3.7% · Ask 4.5% Gérald Darmanin Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Iliana Iotova Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.7% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.2% Iliana Iotova Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Jean Castex Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.3% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.2% Jean Castex Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Juan Branco Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 3.7% · Ask 4.8% Juan Branco Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Kostadin Kostadinov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.1% Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.2% Kostadin Kostadinov Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Krum Zarkov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.6% Krum Zarkov Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Laurent Wauquiez Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.3% Bid 1.4% · Ask 3.1% Laurent Wauquiez Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
lisabeth Borne Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 3.2% · Ask 3.5% Élisabeth Borne Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Manuel Bompard Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 3.8% · Ask 5.1% Manuel Bompard Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Mathilde Panot Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 0.7% · Ask 3.4% Mathilde Panot Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Michel Barnier Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.4% Bid 0.7% · Ask 2.0% Michel Barnier Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Natalia Kiselova Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Natalia Kiselova Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.8% Bid 3.7% · Ask 3.8% Nicolas Dupont-Aignan Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Nikolai Denkov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Nikolai Denkov Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Olivier Faure Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.8% Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.2% Olivier Faure Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Rosen Plevneliev Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Rosen Plevneliev Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Rosen Zhelyazkov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Rosen Zhelyazkov Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Sarah Knafo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.7% Bid 4.2% · Ask 5.2% Sarah Knafo Open Polymarket ↗ 0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Sarah Knafo Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Sébastien Lecornu Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 4.2% · Ask 4.7% Sébastien Lecornu Open Polymarket ↗ 0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9% Sébastien Lecornu Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ségolène Royal Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.1% Bid 2.7% · Ask 3.6% Ségolène Royal Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Valérie Pécresse Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.3% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.2% Valérie Pécresse Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Vassil Terziev Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Vassil Terziev Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yaël Braun-Pivet Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.1% Bid 3.7% · Ask 4.5% Yaël Braun-Pivet Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yanaki Stoilov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.7% Yanaki Stoilov Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Bruno Retailleau

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

5.9%

Bid 5.8% · Ask 6.1%

Bruno Retailleau

Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round)

Polymarket

Kalshi

Bruno Retailleau

Polymarket

Kalshi

David Lisnard

Polymarket

Kalshi

Dominique de Villepin

Polymarket

Kalshi

douard Philippe

Polymarket

Kalshi

François Hollande

Polymarket

Kalshi

François Ruffin

Polymarket

Kalshi

Gabriel Attal

Polymarket

Kalshi

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Polymarket

Kalshi

Jordan Bardella

Polymarket

Kalshi

Marine Le Pen

Polymarket

Kalshi

Marine Tondelier

Polymarket

Kalshi

Raphaël Glucksmann

Polymarket

Kalshi

ric Zemmour

Polymarket

Kalshi

Xavier Bertrand

Polymarket

Kalshi

Andrey Gyurov

Polymarket

Kalshi

Atanas Atanasov

Polymarket

Kalshi

Bernard Cazeneuve

Polymarket

Kalshi

Blagomir Kotsev

Polymarket

Kalshi

Boyko Borissov

Polymarket

Kalshi

Carole Delga

Polymarket

Kalshi

Christine Lagarde

Polymarket

Kalshi

Clémence Guetté

Polymarket

Kalshi

Clémentine Autain

Polymarket

Kalshi

Delyan Peevski

Polymarket

Kalshi

Fabien Roussel

Polymarket

Kalshi

François Asselineau

Polymarket