Market comparison

Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round)

2 venues · 31 outcome rows · 13 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

14 outcomes · $25K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Apr 18, 2028

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

127 outcomes · $54K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Apr 18, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round)
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Bruno Retailleau Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Bruno Retailleau Open Kalshi ↗	1.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.0% Bruno Retailleau Open Polymarket ↗ 2.5% Bid 0.3% · Ask 4.7% Bruno Retailleau Open Polymarket ↗	—
David Lisnard Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.0% David Lisnard Open Kalshi ↗	11.5% Bid 10.2% · Ask 12.8% David Lisnard Open Polymarket ↗ 5.9% Bid 4.8% · Ask 7.1% David Lisnard Open Polymarket ↗	—
Dominique de Villepin Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Dominique de Villepin Open Kalshi ↗	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.6% Dominique de Villepin Open Polymarket ↗ 1.1% Bid 0.5% · Ask 1.8% Dominique de Villepin Open Polymarket ↗	—
douard Philippe Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	20.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 20.0% Édouard Philippe Open Kalshi ↗	27.5% Bid 26.0% · Ask 29.0% Édouard Philippe Open Polymarket ↗ 27.5% Bid 26.0% · Ask 29.0% Édouard Philippe Open Polymarket ↗	—
François Hollande Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% François Hollande Open Kalshi ↗	1.5% Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.5% François Hollande Open Polymarket ↗ 1.4% Bid 0.8% · Ask 1.9% François Hollande Open Polymarket ↗	—
François Ruffin Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% François Ruffin Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% François Ruffin Open Polymarket ↗ 0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5% François Ruffin Open Polymarket ↗	—
Gabriel Attal Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.0% Gabriel Attal Open Kalshi ↗	0.9% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.5% Gabriel Attal Open Polymarket ↗ 8.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0% Gabriel Attal Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jean-Luc Mélenchon Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	32.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 32.0% Jean-Luc Mélenchon Open Kalshi ↗	35.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 37.0% Jean-Luc Mélenchon Open Polymarket ↗ 36.5% Bid 36.0% · Ask 37.0% Jean-Luc Mélenchon Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jordan Bardella Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Jordan Bardella Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Jordan Bardella Open Polymarket ↗ 3.0% Bid 0.3% · Ask 5.8% Jordan Bardella Open Polymarket ↗	—
Marine Le Pen Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Marine Le Pen Open Kalshi ↗	11.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0% Marine Le Pen Open Polymarket ↗ 4.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.9% Marine Le Pen Open Polymarket ↗	—
Marine Tondelier Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Marine Tondelier Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Marine Tondelier Open Polymarket ↗ 0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9% Marine Tondelier Open Polymarket ↗	—
Raphaël Glucksmann Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	10.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 15.0% Raphaël Glucksmann Open Kalshi ↗	11.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0% Raphaël Glucksmann Open Polymarket ↗ 16.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 18.0% Raphaël Glucksmann Open Polymarket ↗	—
ric Zemmour Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Éric Zemmour Open Kalshi ↗	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Éric Zemmour Open Polymarket ↗ 1.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.0% Éric Zemmour Open Polymarket ↗	—
Andrey Gyurov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 0.2% · Ask 3.8% Andrey Gyurov Open Polymarket ↗	—
Atanas Atanasov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 0.4% · Ask 7.5% Atanas Atanasov Open Polymarket ↗	—
Blagomir Kotsev Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.5% Bid 0.6% · Ask 4.3% Blagomir Kotsev Open Polymarket ↗	—
Boyko Borissov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.4% Bid 0.5% · Ask 4.2% Boyko Borissov Open Polymarket ↗	—
Christine Lagarde Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Christine Lagarde Open Polymarket ↗ 0.8% Bid 0.5% · Ask 1.0% Christine Lagarde Open Polymarket ↗	—
Delyan Peevski Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.9% Delyan Peevski Open Polymarket ↗	—
Iliana Iotova Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.8% Bid 2.6% · Ask 5.0% Iliana Iotova Open Polymarket ↗	—
Kostadin Kostadinov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.5% Bid 91.0% · Ask 94.0% Kostadin Kostadinov Open Polymarket ↗	—
Krum Zarkov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.9% Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.5% Krum Zarkov Open Polymarket ↗	—
Natalia Kiselova Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.2% Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.2% Natalia Kiselova Open Polymarket ↗	—
Nikolai Denkov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.1% Bid 0.4% · Ask 3.8% Nikolai Denkov Open Polymarket ↗	—
Rosen Plevneliev Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.7% Rosen Plevneliev Open Polymarket ↗	—
Rosen Zhelyazkov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.1% Bid 0.5% · Ask 3.6% Rosen Zhelyazkov Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sarah Knafo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Sarah Knafo Open Polymarket ↗ 1.4% Bid 0.9% · Ask 1.9% Sarah Knafo Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sébastien Lecornu Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9% Sébastien Lecornu Open Polymarket ↗ 0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Sébastien Lecornu Open Polymarket ↗	—
Vassil Terziev Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.4% Bid 0.3% · Ask 4.5% Vassil Terziev Open Polymarket ↗	—
Xavier Bertrand Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Xavier Bertrand Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Yanaki Stoilov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.9% Yanaki Stoilov Open Polymarket ↗	—

Bruno Retailleau

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Bruno Retailleau

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.0%

Bruno Retailleau

Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round)

Kalshi

Polymarket

Bruno Retailleau

Kalshi

Polymarket

David Lisnard

Kalshi

Polymarket

Dominique de Villepin

Kalshi

Polymarket

douard Philippe

Kalshi

Polymarket

François Hollande

Kalshi

Polymarket

François Ruffin

Kalshi

Polymarket

Gabriel Attal

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jordan Bardella

Kalshi

Polymarket

Marine Le Pen

Kalshi

Polymarket

Marine Tondelier

Kalshi

Polymarket

Raphaël Glucksmann

Kalshi

Polymarket

ric Zemmour

Kalshi

Polymarket

Andrey Gyurov

Kalshi

Polymarket

Atanas Atanasov

Kalshi

Polymarket

Blagomir Kotsev

Kalshi

Polymarket

Boyko Borissov

Kalshi

Polymarket

Christine Lagarde

Kalshi

Polymarket

Delyan Peevski

Kalshi

Polymarket

Iliana Iotova

Kalshi

Polymarket

Kostadin Kostadinov

Kalshi

Polymarket

Krum Zarkov

Kalshi

Polymarket

Natalia Kiselova

Kalshi

Polymarket

Nikolai Denkov

Kalshi

Polymarket

Rosen Plevneliev

Kalshi

Polymarket

Rosen Zhelyazkov

Kalshi