Market comparison
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
2 venues · 36 outcome rows · 18 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗37 outcomes · $411K reported volume
Observed 1m ago
Recorded venue end date: Apr 19, 2027
Kalshi
Open venue ↗27 outcomes · $23K reported volume
Observed 41s ago
Observed 41s ago
Recorded venue end date: Apr 18, 2028
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Bernard Cazeneuve Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.3 pp | ||
Bruno Retailleau Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
David Lisnard Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 2.3 pp | ||
Dominique de Villepin Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
douard Philippe Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
François Hollande Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
François Ruffin Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 3.1 pp | ||
Gabriel Attal Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Jean-Luc Mélenchon Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Jordan Bardella Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
lisabeth Borne Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.6 pp | ||
Marine Le Pen Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Marine Tondelier Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 0.9 pp | ||
Olivier Faure Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 2.8 pp | ||
Raphaël Glucksmann Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
ric Zemmour Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 3.5 pp | ||
Sébastien Lecornu Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 0.6 pp | ||
Xavier Bertrand Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 0.4 pp | ||
Carole Delga Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Clémence Guetté Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Clémentine Autain Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Fabien Roussel Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
François Asselineau Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
François Bayrou Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Gérald Darmanin Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Jean Castex Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Juan Branco Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Laurent Wauquiez Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Manuel Bompard Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Mathilde Panot Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Michel Barnier Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Sarah Knafo Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Ségolène Royal Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Valérie Pécresse Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Yaël Braun-Pivet Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Bernard Cazeneuve
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.3 pp
Bruno Retailleau
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
David Lisnard
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 2.3 pp
Dominique de Villepin
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
douard Philippe
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
François Hollande
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
François Ruffin
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 3.1 pp
Gabriel Attal
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Jordan Bardella
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
lisabeth Borne
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.6 pp
Marine Le Pen
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Marine Tondelier
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.9 pp
Olivier Faure
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 2.8 pp
Raphaël Glucksmann
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
ric Zemmour
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 3.5 pp
Sébastien Lecornu
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.6 pp
Xavier Bertrand
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.4 pp
Carole Delga
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Clémence Guetté
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Clémentine Autain
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Fabien Roussel
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
François Asselineau
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
François Bayrou
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Gérald Darmanin
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Jean Castex
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Juan Branco
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Laurent Wauquiez
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Manuel Bompard
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Mathilde Panot
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Michel Barnier
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Sarah Knafo
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Ségolène Royal
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Valérie Pécresse
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Yaël Braun-Pivet
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.