Market comparison

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

2 venues · 34 outcome rows · 12 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

34 outcomes · $112K reported volume

Observed 56s ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 1, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

36 outcomes · $120K reported volume

Observed 56s ago

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 27, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Amir Ohana Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Amir Ohana Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Amir Ohana Open Kalshi ↗	1.4 pp
Avigdor Lieberman Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	20.5% Bid 20.1% · Ask 20.9% Avigdor Lieberman Open Polymarket ↗	8.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 12.0% Avigdor Lieberman Open Kalshi ↗ 6.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.0% Avigdor Lieberman Open Kalshi ↗	—
Benjamin Netanyahu Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.8% Bid 0.5% · Ask 1.0% Benjamin Netanyahu Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Benjamin Netanyahu Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Benjamin Netanyahu Open Kalshi ↗	—
Benny Gantz Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Benny Gantz Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Benny Gantz Open Kalshi ↗	0.5 pp
Bezalel Smotrich Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.2% Bid 3.2% · Ask 5.1% Bezalel Smotrich Open Polymarket ↗	10.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0% Bezalel Smotrich Open Kalshi ↗	5.9 pp
Eli Cohen Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Eli Cohen Open Polymarket ↗	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Eli Cohen Open Kalshi ↗ 2.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Eli Cohen Open Kalshi ↗	—
Israel Katz Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.9% Bid 3.3% · Ask 6.5% Israel Katz Open Polymarket ↗	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Israel Katz Open Kalshi ↗ 4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Israel Katz Open Kalshi ↗	—
Moshe Feiglin Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.4% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.6% Moshe Feiglin Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Moshe Feiglin Open Kalshi ↗	0.6 pp
Naftali Bennett Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	18.2% Bid 17.8% · Ask 18.6% Naftali Bennett Open Polymarket ↗	6.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Naftali Bennett Open Kalshi ↗ 6.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 12.0% Naftali Bennett Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yair Golan Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.8% Yair Golan Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Yair Golan Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Yair Golan Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yair Lapid Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.4% Bid 1.0% · Ask 9.8% Yair Lapid Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Yair Lapid Open Kalshi ↗ 26.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 26.0% Yair Lapid Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yossi Cohen Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.8% Bid 1.1% · Ask 2.4% Yoram Cohen Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Yoram Cohen Open Kalshi ↗	0.2 pp
Aryeh Deri Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Aryeh Deri Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before 2026 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Before 2026 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Before 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	38.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 39.0% Before 2027 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Chili Tropper Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Chili Tropper Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Chili Tropper Open Kalshi ↗	—
Einat Wilf Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Einat Wilf Open Kalshi ↗	—
Elazar Stern Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.3% Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.1% Elazar Stern Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Gadi Eisenkot Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Gadi Eisenkot Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0% Gadi Eisenkot Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gadi Eizenkot Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.8% Bid 1.8% · Ask 7.8% Gadi Eizenkot Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Gideon Sa'ar Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0% Gideon Sa'ar Open Kalshi ↗	—
Itamar Ben Gvir Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 1.2% · Ask 5.9% Itamar Ben Gvir Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Keren Terner Eyal Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.0% Keren Terner Eyal Open Kalshi ↗	—
Matan Kahana Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Matan Kahana Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Naama Lazimi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Naama Lazimi Open Kalshi ↗	—
Nir Barkat Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Nir Barkat Open Kalshi ↗	—
No Next Minister by Feb 28 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	37.4% Bid 36.4% · Ask 38.3% No Next Minister by Feb 28 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ofer Winter Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid 3.2% · Ask 7.7% Ofer Winter Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Orit Farkash-Hacohen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Orit Farkash-Hacohen Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ron Dermer Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Ron Dermer Open Kalshi ↗	—
Shaul Meridor Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 15.0% Shaul Meridor Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yaron Zelekha Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Yaron Zelekha Open Kalshi ↗	—
Yoaz Hendel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Yoaz Hendel Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yossi Cohen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Yossi Cohen Open Kalshi ↗	—

Amir Ohana

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0%

Amir Ohana

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Amir Ohana

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

Polymarket

Kalshi

Amir Ohana

Polymarket

Kalshi

Avigdor Lieberman

Polymarket

Kalshi

Benjamin Netanyahu

Polymarket

Kalshi

Benny Gantz

Polymarket

Kalshi

Bezalel Smotrich

Polymarket

Kalshi

Eli Cohen

Polymarket

Kalshi

Israel Katz

Polymarket

Kalshi

Moshe Feiglin

Polymarket

Kalshi

Naftali Bennett

Polymarket

Kalshi

Yair Golan

Polymarket

Kalshi

Yair Lapid

Polymarket

Kalshi

Yossi Cohen

Polymarket

Kalshi

Aryeh Deri

Polymarket

Kalshi

Before 2026

Polymarket

Kalshi

Before 2027

Polymarket

Kalshi

Chili Tropper

Polymarket

Kalshi

Einat Wilf

Polymarket

Kalshi

Elazar Stern

Polymarket

Kalshi

Gadi Eisenkot

Polymarket

Kalshi

Gadi Eizenkot

Polymarket

Kalshi

Gideon Sa'ar

Polymarket

Kalshi

Itamar Ben Gvir

Polymarket

Kalshi

Keren Terner Eyal

Polymarket

Kalshi

Matan Kahana

Polymarket

Kalshi

Naama Lazimi

Polymarket

Kalshi

Nir Barkat

Polymarket