The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

2 venues · 42 outcome rows · 13 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

34 outcomes · $135K reported volume

Observed 56s ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 1, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

63 outcomes · $161K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 56s ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 27, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Amir Ohana

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3%

Amir Ohana

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Amir Ohana

Open Kalshi ↗

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Amir Ohana

Open Kalshi ↗

Avigdor Lieberman

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.0%

Avigdor Lieberman

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

8.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 12.0%

Avigdor Lieberman

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0%

Avigdor Lieberman

Open Kalshi ↗

6.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.0%

Avigdor Lieberman

Open Kalshi ↗

Benjamin Netanyahu

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.1%

Benjamin Netanyahu

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Benjamin Netanyahu

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Benjamin Netanyahu

Open Kalshi ↗

Benny Gantz

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Benny Gantz

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Benny Gantz

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Eli Cohen

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3%

Eli Cohen

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Eli Cohen

Open Kalshi ↗

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Eli Cohen

Open Kalshi ↗

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Eli Cohen

Open Kalshi ↗

Gideon Sa'ar

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 2.2% · Ask 3.9%

Gideon Sa’ar

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Gideon Sa'ar

Open Kalshi ↗

12.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0%

Gideon Sa'ar

Open Kalshi ↗

Israel Katz

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.9%

Israel Katz

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Israel Katz

Open Kalshi ↗

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Israel Katz

Open Kalshi ↗

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0%

Israel Katz

Open Kalshi ↗

Naftali Bennett

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

9.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 10.0%

Naftali Bennett

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0%

Naftali Bennett

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Naftali Bennett

Open Kalshi ↗

6.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 12.0%

Naftali Bennett

Open Kalshi ↗

Ron Dermer

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.4%

Ron Dermer

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Ron Dermer

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 4.7 pp

Yair Golan

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Yair Golan

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Yair Golan

Open Kalshi ↗

4.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0%

Yair Golan

Open Kalshi ↗

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Yair Golan

Open Kalshi ↗

Yair Lapid

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

21.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 22.0%

Yair Lapid

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0%

Yair Lapid

Open Kalshi ↗

26.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 26.0%

Yair Lapid

Open Kalshi ↗

Yossi Cohen

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5%

Yoram Cohen

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Yoram Cohen

Open Kalshi ↗

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Yoram Cohen

Open Kalshi ↗

Yossi Cohen

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Yossi Cohen

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Yossi Cohen

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Aryeh Deri

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Aryeh Deri

Open Kalshi ↗

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0%

Aryeh Deri

Open Kalshi ↗

Ayelet Shaked

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Ayelet Shaked

Open Kalshi ↗

Bezalel Smotrich

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0%

Bezalel Smotrich

Open Kalshi ↗

Chili Tropper

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Chili Tropper

Open Kalshi ↗

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Chili Tropper

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Chili Tropper

Open Kalshi ↗

David Amsalem

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

David Amsalem

Open Kalshi ↗

Einat Wilf

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Einat Wilf

Open Kalshi ↗

Gadi Eisenkot

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Gadi Eisenkot

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Gadi Eisenkot

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0%

Gadi Eisenkot

Open Kalshi ↗

Gadi Eizenkot

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0%

Gadi Eizenkot

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Gilad Kariv

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Gilad Kariv

Open Kalshi ↗

Haim Biton

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Haim Biton

Open Kalshi ↗

Keren Terner Eyal

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.0%

Keren Terner Eyal

Open Kalshi ↗

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Keren Terner Eyal

Open Kalshi ↗

Meirav Cohen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Meirav Cohen

Open Kalshi ↗

Michael Malchieli

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 16.0%

Michael Malchieli

Open Kalshi ↗

Miki Zohar

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Miki Zohar

Open Kalshi ↗

Miri Regev

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Miri Regev

Open Kalshi ↗

Moshe Feiglin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Moshe Feiglin

Open Kalshi ↗

Moshe Gafni

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Moshe Gafni

Open Kalshi ↗

Naama Lazimi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Naama Lazimi

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Naama Lazimi

Open Kalshi ↗

Nir Barkat

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Nir Barkat

Open Kalshi ↗

No Next Minister by Feb 28

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

37.0%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 38.0%

No Next Minister by Feb 28

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Oded Forer

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Oded Forer

Open Kalshi ↗

Ofir Katz

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Ofir Katz

Open Kalshi ↗

Orit Farkash-Hacohen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Orit Farkash-Hacohen

Open Kalshi ↗

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Orit Farkash-Hacohen

Open Kalshi ↗

Shaul Meridor

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 15.0%

Shaul Meridor

Open Kalshi ↗

Yair Golan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Yitzhak Goldknopf

Open Kalshi ↗

Yariv Levin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Yariv Levin

Open Kalshi ↗

Yaron Zelekha

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0%

Yaron Zelekha

Open Kalshi ↗

Yinon Azulay

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Yinon Azulay

Open Kalshi ↗

Yoav Ben-Tzur

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 10.0%

Yoav Ben-Tzur

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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