The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Next Israeli Minister of Interior?

2 venues · 43 outcome rows · 15 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

63 outcomes · $161K reported volume

Observed 14s ago

Observed 14s ago

Observed 14s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 27, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

33 outcomes · $18K reported volume

Observed 14s ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Aryeh Deri

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Aryeh Deri

Open Kalshi ↗

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0%

Aryeh Deri

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

9.3%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 18.0%

Aryeh Deri

Open Polymarket ↗

Avigdor Lieberman

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

8.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 12.0%

Avigdor Lieberman

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0%

Avigdor Lieberman

Open Kalshi ↗

6.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.0%

Avigdor Lieberman

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.0%

Avigdor Lieberman

Open Polymarket ↗

Ayelet Shaked

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Ayelet Shaked

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.1%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 7.7%

Ayelet Shaked

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.1 pp

Eli Cohen

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Eli Cohen

Open Kalshi ↗

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Eli Cohen

Open Kalshi ↗

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Eli Cohen

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9%

Eli Cohen

Open Polymarket ↗

Israel Katz

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Israel Katz

Open Kalshi ↗

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Israel Katz

Open Kalshi ↗

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0%

Israel Katz

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.0%

Israel Katz

Open Polymarket ↗

Keren Terner Eyal

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.0%

Keren Terner Eyal

Open Kalshi ↗

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Keren Terner Eyal

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.2%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 11.4%

Keren Terner Eyal

Open Polymarket ↗

Meirav Cohen

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Meirav Cohen

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 6.0%

Meirav Cohen

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.1 pp

Michael Malchieli

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 16.0%

Michael Malchieli

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

15.2%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 27.8%

Michael Malchieli

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 4.1 pp

Miri Regev

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Miri Regev

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.8%

Miri Regev

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.4 pp

Oded Forer

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Oded Forer

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.0%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.7%

Oded Forer

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.0 pp

Orit Farkash-Hacohen

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Orit Farkash-Hacohen

Open Kalshi ↗

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Orit Farkash-Hacohen

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 14.0%

Orit Farkash-Hacohen

Open Polymarket ↗

Yair Golan

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Yair Golan

Open Kalshi ↗

4.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0%

Yair Golan

Open Kalshi ↗

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Yair Golan

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 6.4%

Yair Golan

Open Polymarket ↗

Yariv Levin

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Yariv Levin

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 9.9%

Yariv Levin

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.1 pp

Yoav Ben-Tzur

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 10.0%

Yoav Ben-Tzur

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

17.5%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0%

Yoav Ben-Tzur

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 10.5 pp

Yossi Cohen

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Yoram Cohen

Open Kalshi ↗

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Yoram Cohen

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.8%

Yoram Cohen

Open Polymarket ↗

Amir Ohana

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Amir Ohana

Open Kalshi ↗

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Amir Ohana

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Benjamin Netanyahu

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Benjamin Netanyahu

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Benjamin Netanyahu

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Benny Gantz

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Benny Gantz

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bezalel Smotrich

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0%

Bezalel Smotrich

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Chili Tropper

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Chili Tropper

Open Kalshi ↗

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Chili Tropper

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Chili Tropper

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

David Amsalem

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

David Amsalem

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Einat Wilf

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Einat Wilf

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Gadi Eisenkot

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Gadi Eisenkot

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Gadi Eisenkot

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0%

Gadi Eisenkot

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Gideon Sa'ar

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Gideon Sa'ar

Open Kalshi ↗

12.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0%

Gideon Sa'ar

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Gilad Kariv

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Gilad Kariv

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Haim Biton

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Haim Biton

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hili Tropper (Yechiel Tropper)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.0%

Hili Tropper (Yechiel Tropper)

Open Polymarket ↗

Miki Zohar

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Miki Zohar

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Moshe Arbel

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.5%

Moshe Arbel

Open Polymarket ↗

Moshe Feiglin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Moshe Feiglin

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Moshe Gafni

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Moshe Gafni

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Naama Lazimi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Naama Lazimi

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Naama Lazimi

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Naftali Bennett

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0%

Naftali Bennett

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Naftali Bennett

Open Kalshi ↗

6.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 12.0%

Naftali Bennett

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Nir Barkat

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Nir Barkat

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

No Next Minister by Feb 28

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

38.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 46.0%

No Next Minister by Feb 28

Open Polymarket ↗

Ofir Katz

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Ofir Katz

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ron Dermer

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Ron Dermer

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Shaul Meridor

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 15.0%

Shaul Meridor

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Yair Golan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Yitzhak Goldknopf

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Yair Lapid

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0%

Yair Lapid

Open Kalshi ↗

26.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 26.0%

Yair Lapid

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Yaron Zelekha

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0%

Yaron Zelekha

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Yinon Azulay

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Yinon Azulay

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Yossi Cohen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Yossi Cohen

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.