Market comparison

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

2 venues · 37 outcome rows · 11 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

49 outcomes · $159K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 27, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

33 outcomes · $76K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Next Israeli Minister of Justice?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Amir Ohana Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Amir Ohana Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Amir Ohana Open Kalshi ↗	4.2% Bid 0.6% · Ask 7.7% Amir Ohana Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ayelet Shaked Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Ayelet Shaked Open Kalshi ↗	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Ayelet Shaked Open Polymarket ↗	0.4 pp
Efrat Rayten Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Efrat Rayten Open Kalshi ↗	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Efrat Rayten Open Polymarket ↗	5.4 pp
Gideon Sa'ar Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Gideon Sa'ar Open Kalshi ↗ 12.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0% Gideon Sa'ar Open Kalshi ↗	6.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0% Gideon Sa’ar Open Polymarket ↗	—
Gilad Kariv Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Gilad Kariv Open Kalshi ↗	6.0% Bid 5.4% · Ask 6.6% Gilad Kariv Open Polymarket ↗	1.0 pp
Oded Forer Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Oded Forer Open Kalshi ↗	4.2% Bid 3.0% · Ask 5.3% Oded Forer Open Polymarket ↗	2.2 pp
Ofir Katz Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Ofir Katz Open Kalshi ↗	4.1% Bid 0.8% · Ask 7.4% Ofir Katz Open Polymarket ↗	2.1 pp
Orit Farkash-Hacohen Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Orit Farkash-Hacohen Open Kalshi ↗ 10.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 11.0% Orit Farkash-Hacohen Open Kalshi ↗	4.0% Bid 0.6% · Ask 7.4% Orit Farkash-Hacohen Open Polymarket ↗	—
Simcha Rothman Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Simcha Rothman Open Kalshi ↗	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5% Simcha Rothman Open Polymarket ↗	2.7 pp
Tally Gotliv Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Tally Gotliv Open Kalshi ↗	8.5% Bid 7.1% · Ask 9.9% Tally Gotliv Open Polymarket ↗	6.5 pp
Yariv Levin Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	14.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 21.0% Yariv Levin Open Kalshi ↗	3.7% Bid 1.8% · Ask 5.6% Yariv Levin Open Polymarket ↗	10.3 pp
Aryeh Deri Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Aryeh Deri Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Avigdor Lieberman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 12.0% Avigdor Lieberman Open Kalshi ↗ 6.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.0% Avigdor Lieberman Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Benjamin Netanyahu Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Benjamin Netanyahu Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Benjamin Netanyahu Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Benny Gantz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Benny Gantz Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bezalel Smotrich Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0% Bezalel Smotrich Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% Bezalel Smotrich Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Chili Tropper Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Chili Tropper Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Chili Tropper Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Chili Tropper Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Einat Wilf Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Einat Wilf Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Eli Cohen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Eli Cohen Open Kalshi ↗ 2.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Eli Cohen Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Gadi Eisenkot Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Gadi Eisenkot Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0% Gadi Eisenkot Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hili Tropper Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.0% Hili Tropper Open Polymarket ↗	—
Israel Katz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Israel Katz Open Kalshi ↗ 4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Israel Katz Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Karine Elharrar Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Karine Elharrar Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Keren Terner Eyal Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.0% Keren Terner Eyal Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Moshe Feiglin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Moshe Feiglin Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Moshe Saada Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% Moshe Saada Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Naama Lazimi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Naama Lazimi Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Naftali Bennett Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Naftali Bennett Open Kalshi ↗ 6.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 12.0% Naftali Bennett Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Nir Barkat Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Nir Barkat Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
No Next Minister by Feb 28 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	39.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 40.0% No Next Minister by Feb 28 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ron Dermer Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Ron Dermer Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Shaul Meridor Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 15.0% Shaul Meridor Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Yair Golan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Yair Golan Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Yair Golan Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Yair Lapid Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Yair Lapid Open Kalshi ↗ 26.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 26.0% Yair Lapid Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Yaron Zelekha Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Yaron Zelekha Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Yossi Cohen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Yoram Cohen Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Yossi Cohen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Yossi Cohen Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Amir Ohana

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Amir Ohana

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

Kalshi

Polymarket

Amir Ohana

Kalshi

Polymarket

Ayelet Shaked

Kalshi

Polymarket

Efrat Rayten

Kalshi

Polymarket

Gideon Sa'ar

Kalshi

Polymarket

Gilad Kariv

Kalshi

Polymarket

Oded Forer

Kalshi

Polymarket

Ofir Katz

Kalshi

Polymarket

Orit Farkash-Hacohen

Kalshi

Polymarket

Simcha Rothman

Kalshi

Polymarket

Tally Gotliv

Kalshi

Polymarket

Yariv Levin

Kalshi

Polymarket

Aryeh Deri

Kalshi

Polymarket

Avigdor Lieberman

Kalshi

Polymarket

Benjamin Netanyahu

Kalshi

Polymarket

Benny Gantz

Kalshi

Polymarket

Bezalel Smotrich

Kalshi

Polymarket

Chili Tropper

Kalshi

Polymarket

Einat Wilf

Kalshi

Polymarket

Eli Cohen

Kalshi

Polymarket

Gadi Eisenkot

Kalshi

Polymarket

Hili Tropper

Kalshi

Polymarket

Israel Katz

Kalshi

Polymarket

Karine Elharrar

Kalshi

Polymarket

Keren Terner Eyal

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moshe Feiglin

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moshe Saada

Kalshi