Market comparison

Next leader out of power before 2027?

1 venue · 22 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

22 outcomes · $1.5M reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Next leader out of power before 2027?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
Abbas - President of Palestine Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.8% Bid 1.6% · Ask 1.9% Abbas - President of Palestine Open Polymarket ↗	—
al-Sharaa - Syria President Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.4% al-Sharaa - Syria President Open Polymarket ↗	—
Albanese - Australia PM Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3% Albanese - Australia PM Open Polymarket ↗	—
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.5% Díaz-Canel - Cuba President Open Polymarket ↗	—
Erdoğan - Türkiye President Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.6% Erdoğan - Türkiye President Open Polymarket ↗	—
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lecornu - France PM Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.9% Bid 3.7% · Ask 4.1% Lecornu - France PM Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lula da Silva - Brazil President Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.5% · Ask 0.6% Lula da Silva - Brazil President Open Polymarket ↗	—
Macron - France President Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.3% Bid 2.1% · Ask 2.4% Macron - France President Open Polymarket ↗	—
Merz - German Chancellor Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.4% Bid 0.9% · Ask 1.9% Merz - German Chancellor Open Polymarket ↗	—
Milei - Argentina President Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3% Milei - Argentina President Open Polymarket ↗	—
Netanyahu - Israel PM Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	33.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 34.0% Netanyahu - Israel PM Open Polymarket ↗	—
Newsom - California Governor Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Newsom - California Governor Open Polymarket ↗	—
None before 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	46.5% Bid 46.0% · Ask 47.0% None before 2027 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Putin - Russia President Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.5% Putin - Russia President Open Polymarket ↗	—
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.8% Bid 0.6% · Ask 1.0% Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sánchez - Spanish PM Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.8% Bid 3.6% · Ask 3.9% Sánchez - Spanish PM Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sheinbaum - Mexico President Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3% Sheinbaum - Mexico President Open Polymarket ↗	—
Takaichi - Japan PM Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.2% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3% Takaichi - Japan PM Open Polymarket ↗	—
Trump - USA President Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.5% Bid 1.3% · Ask 1.6% Trump - USA President Open Polymarket ↗	—
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.5% · Ask 0.6% Xi - General Secretary of the CCP Open Polymarket ↗	—
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.8% · Ask 1.1% Zelenskyy - Ukraine President Open Polymarket ↗	—

Abbas - President of Palestine

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 1.9%

Abbas - President of Palestine

Open Polymarket ↗

al-Sharaa - Syria President

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.4%

al-Sharaa - Syria President

Open Polymarket ↗

Albanese - Australia PM

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3%

Albanese - Australia PM

Open Polymarket ↗

Díaz-Canel - Cuba President

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.5%

Díaz-Canel - Cuba President

Open Polymarket ↗

Erdoğan - Türkiye President

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.6%

Erdoğan - Türkiye President

Open Polymarket ↗

Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea

Open Polymarket ↗

Lecornu - France PM

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 3.7% · Ask 4.1%

Lecornu - France PM

Open Polymarket ↗

Lula da Silva - Brazil President

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 0.6%

Lula da Silva - Brazil President

Open Polymarket ↗

Macron - France President

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.3%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 2.4%

Macron - France President

Open Polymarket ↗

Merz - German Chancellor

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 1.9%

Merz - German Chancellor

Open Polymarket ↗

Milei - Argentina President

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3%

Milei - Argentina President

Open Polymarket ↗

Netanyahu - Israel PM

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

33.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 34.0%

Netanyahu - Israel PM

Open Polymarket ↗

Newsom - California Governor

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Newsom - California Governor

Open Polymarket ↗

None before 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

46.5%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 47.0%

None before 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

Putin - Russia President

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.5%

Putin - Russia President

Open Polymarket ↗

Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 1.0%

Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President

Open Polymarket ↗

Sánchez - Spanish PM

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.8%

Bid 3.6% · Ask 3.9%

Sánchez - Spanish PM

Open Polymarket ↗

Sheinbaum - Mexico President

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3%

Sheinbaum - Mexico President

Open Polymarket ↗

Takaichi - Japan PM

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3%

Takaichi - Japan PM

Open Polymarket ↗

Trump - USA President

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 1.6%

Trump - USA President

Open Polymarket ↗

Xi - General Secretary of the CCP

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 0.6%

Xi - General Secretary of the CCP

Open Polymarket ↗

Zelenskyy - Ukraine President

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 1.1%

Zelenskyy - Ukraine President

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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