Market comparison
NFC Championship Winner
2 venues · 16 outcome rows · 16 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Kalshi
Open venue ↗16 outcomes · $13.3M reported volume
Observed 49s ago
Recorded venue end date: Feb 22, 2027
Polymarket
Open venue ↗17 outcomes · $6.5M reported volume
Observed 1m ago
Recorded venue end date: Jan 25, 2027
Known rule differences between venues
- Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
- Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
- Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Arizona Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.9 pp | ||
Atlanta Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.3 pp | ||
Carolina Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.7 pp | ||
Chicago Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.0 pp | ||
Dallas Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.0 pp | ||
Detroit Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.9 pp | ||
Green Bay Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.0 pp | ||
Los Angeles R Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.0 pp | ||
Minnesota Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.5 pp | ||
New Orleans Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.1 pp | ||
New York G Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.5 pp | ||
Philadelphia Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 2.4 pp | ||
San Francisco Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 2.5 pp | ||
Seattle Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.5 pp | ||
Tampa Bay Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.5 pp | ||
Washington Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.2 pp |
Arizona
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.9 pp
Atlanta
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.3 pp
Carolina
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.7 pp
Chicago
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.0 pp
Dallas
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.0 pp
Detroit
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.9 pp
Green Bay
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.0 pp
Los Angeles R
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.0 pp
Minnesota
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.5 pp
New Orleans
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.1 pp
New York G
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.5 pp
Philadelphia
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 2.4 pp
San Francisco
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 2.5 pp
Seattle
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.5 pp
Tampa Bay
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.5 pp
Washington
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.2 pp
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.