Market comparison
NHL: 2026-27 Atlantic Division Winner
2 venues · 8 outcome rows · 8 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Kalshi
Open venue ↗8 outcomes · $60K reported volume
Observed 13s ago
Recorded venue end date: May 1, 2027
Polymarket
Open venue ↗9 outcomes · $1K reported volume
Observed 13s ago
Recorded venue end date: Apr 20, 2027
Known rule differences between venues
- Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
- Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
- Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Boston Bruins Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 3.5 pp | ||
Buffalo Sabres Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 3.0 pp | ||
Detroit Red Wings Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 9.1 pp | ||
Florida Panthers Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 8.0 pp | ||
Montreal Canadiens Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 4.0 pp | ||
Ottawa Senators Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.5 pp | ||
Tampa Bay Lightning Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 8.0 pp | ||
Toronto Maple Leafs Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 4.7 pp |
Boston Bruins
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 3.5 pp
Buffalo Sabres
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 3.0 pp
Detroit Red Wings
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 9.1 pp
Florida Panthers
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 8.0 pp
Montreal Canadiens
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 4.0 pp
Ottawa Senators
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.5 pp
Tampa Bay Lightning
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 8.0 pp
Toronto Maple Leafs
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 4.7 pp
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.