Market comparison

Nobel Prize in Literature: 2026

1 venue · 12 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · inactive

Kalshi

12 outcomes · $29K reported volume

Observed 378h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: Oct 10, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Nobel Prize in Literature: 2026
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
Alexis Wright Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Alexis Wright Open Kalshi ↗	—
Amitav Ghosh Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Amitav Ghosh Open Kalshi ↗	—
Anne Carson Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Anne Carson Open Kalshi ↗	—
Can Xue Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Can Xue Open Kalshi ↗	—
César Aira Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old César Aira Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cristina Rivera Garza Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Cristina Rivera Garza Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gerald Murnane Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Gerald Murnane Open Kalshi ↗	—
Haruki Murakami Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Haruki Murakami Open Kalshi ↗	—
Margaret Atwood Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Margaret Atwood Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mircea Cărtărescu Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Mircea Cărtărescu Open Kalshi ↗	—
Salman Rushdie Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Salman Rushdie Open Kalshi ↗	—
Thomas Pynchon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old Thomas Pynchon Open Kalshi ↗	—

Alexis Wright

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Alexis Wright

Open Kalshi ↗

Amitav Ghosh

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Amitav Ghosh

Open Kalshi ↗

Anne Carson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

14.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Anne Carson

Open Kalshi ↗

Can Xue

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Can Xue

Open Kalshi ↗

César Aira

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

10.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

César Aira

Open Kalshi ↗

Cristina Rivera Garza

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

10.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Cristina Rivera Garza

Open Kalshi ↗

Gerald Murnane

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

12.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Gerald Murnane

Open Kalshi ↗

Haruki Murakami

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Haruki Murakami

Open Kalshi ↗

Margaret Atwood

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Margaret Atwood

Open Kalshi ↗

Mircea Cărtărescu

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Mircea Cărtărescu

Open Kalshi ↗

Salman Rushdie

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Salman Rushdie

Open Kalshi ↗

Thomas Pynchon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

Thomas Pynchon

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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