Market comparison

North Carolina's 11th District margin of victory

2 venues · 22 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $16K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for North Carolina's 11th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Ager, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	74.0% Bid 74.0% · Ask 82.0% Ager, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ager, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	61.0% Bid 61.0% · Ask 65.0% Ager, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ager, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	51.0% Bid 46.0% · Ask 54.0% Ager, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ager, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 41.0% Ager, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ager, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 29.0% Ager, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ager, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.8% Bid 7.6% · Ask 18.0% Ager, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Balkcom, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 4.8% · Ask 15.0% Balkcom, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Balkcom, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 10.0% Balkcom, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Balkcom, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.3% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.3% Balkcom, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Balkcom, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.7% Bid 1.2% · Ask 6.7% Balkcom, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Balkcom, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.3% Balkcom, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Balkcom, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.7% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.7% Balkcom, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 18.0% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.8% Bid 0.4% · Ask 7.2% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.1% Bid 16.1% · Ask 18.1% Democrat 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.8% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 25.0% Democrat 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.9% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0% Democrat 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.0% Republican 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.5% Bid 16.0% · Ask 19.0% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.7% Bid 1.1% · Ask 8.3% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Ager, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

74.0%

Bid 74.0% · Ask 82.0%

Ager, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ager, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

61.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 65.0%

Ager, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ager, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

51.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 54.0%

Ager, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ager, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 41.0%

Ager, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ager, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 29.0%

Ager, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ager, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.8%

Bid 7.6% · Ask 18.0%

Ager, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Balkcom, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 4.8% · Ask 15.0%

Balkcom, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Balkcom, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 10.0%

Balkcom, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Balkcom, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.3%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.3%

Balkcom, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Balkcom, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.7%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 6.7%

Balkcom, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Balkcom, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.3%

Balkcom, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Balkcom, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.7%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.7%

Balkcom, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 18.0%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.8%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 7.2%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.1%

Bid 16.1% · Ask 18.1%

Democrat 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.8%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 25.0%

Democrat 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.9%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0%

Democrat 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.0%

Republican 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 19.0%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 8.3%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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