Market comparison

North Carolina's 2nd District margin of victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $16K reported volume

Observed 58s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 8m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for North Carolina's 2nd District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Democrat 0-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 0.8% · Ask 7.9% Democrat 15-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 0.5% · Ask 3.6% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.3% Bid 6.3% · Ask 6.4% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.5% Bid 20.0% · Ask 23.0% Democrat 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.6% Bid 16.5% · Ask 20.7% Democrat 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.5% Bid 28.0% · Ask 29.0% Democrat 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 50-55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.1% Bid 12.2% · Ask 16.0% Democrat 50-55% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 55%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.9% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.8% Democrat 55%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.6% Bid 0.5% · Ask 4.7% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ross, 28+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.2% Bid 93.2% · Ask 97.5% Ross, 28+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ross, 31+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	91.0% Bid 90.5% · Ask 91.0% Ross, 31+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ross, 34+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	87.0% Bid 87.0% · Ask 95.8% Ross, 34+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ross, 37+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	80.0% Bid 80.0% · Ask 88.0% Ross, 37+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ross, 40+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	69.0% Bid 69.0% · Ask 79.0% Ross, 40+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ross, 43+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	57.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 64.0% Ross, 43+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ross, 46+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	38.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 48.0% Ross, 46+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ross, 49+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	22.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 32.0% Ross, 49+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ross, 52+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 9.6% · Ask 11.0% Ross, 52+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat 0-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Democrat 0-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 7.9%

Democrat 15-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 3.6%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.3%

Bid 6.3% · Ask 6.4%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 23.0%

Democrat 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.6%

Bid 16.5% · Ask 20.7%

Democrat 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

28.5%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 29.0%

Democrat 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 50-55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.1%

Bid 12.2% · Ask 16.0%

Democrat 50-55%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 55%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.9%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.8%

Democrat 55%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 4.7%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ross, 28+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.2%

Bid 93.2% · Ask 97.5%

Ross, 28+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ross, 31+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

91.0%

Bid 90.5% · Ask 91.0%

Ross, 31+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ross, 34+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

87.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 95.8%

Ross, 34+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ross, 37+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 88.0%

Ross, 37+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ross, 40+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

69.0%

Bid 69.0% · Ask 79.0%

Ross, 40+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ross, 43+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

57.0%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 64.0%

Ross, 43+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ross, 46+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

38.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 48.0%

Ross, 46+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ross, 49+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 32.0%

Ross, 49+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ross, 52+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 9.6% · Ask 11.0%

Ross, 52+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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