Market comparison

North Carolina's 4th District margin of victory

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $16K reported volume

Observed 17s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 17s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for North Carolina's 4th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Democrat 0-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.6% Bid 0.5% · Ask 2.7% Democrat 20-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 3.0% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Democrat 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 2.5% · Ask 3.5% Democrat 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.6% Bid 9.4% · Ask 9.8% Democrat 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 50-55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.5% Bid 22.0% · Ask 25.0% Democrat 50-55% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 55-60% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.5% Bid 31.0% · Ask 32.0% Democrat 55-60% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 60%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.5% Bid 22.5% · Ask 24.5% Democrat 60%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Foushee, 37+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.5% Bid 93.5% · Ask 97.8% Foushee, 37+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Foushee, 40+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.7% Bid 92.7% · Ask 97.9% Foushee, 40+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Foushee, 43+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	90.6% Bid 90.6% · Ask 91.5% Foushee, 43+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Foushee, 46+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	88.0% Bid 86.0% · Ask 97.0% Foushee, 46+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Foushee, 49+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	76.0% Bid 76.0% · Ask 88.0% Foushee, 49+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Foushee, 52+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	68.0% Bid 62.0% · Ask 74.0% Foushee, 52+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Foushee, 55+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	55.0% Bid 44.0% · Ask 56.0% Foushee, 55+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Foushee, 58+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 37.0% Foushee, 58+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Foushee, 61+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.0% Bid 9.6% · Ask 21.0% Foushee, 61+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Foushee, 64+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 11.0% Foushee, 64+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Democrat 0-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 2.7%

Democrat 20-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 3.0%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Democrat 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 3.5%

Democrat 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.6%

Bid 9.4% · Ask 9.8%

Democrat 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 50-55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.5%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 25.0%

Democrat 50-55%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 55-60%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.5%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 32.0%

Democrat 55-60%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 60%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.5%

Bid 22.5% · Ask 24.5%

Democrat 60%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Foushee, 37+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.5%

Bid 93.5% · Ask 97.8%

Foushee, 37+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Foushee, 40+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

92.7%

Bid 92.7% · Ask 97.9%

Foushee, 40+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Foushee, 43+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

90.6%

Bid 90.6% · Ask 91.5%

Foushee, 43+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Foushee, 46+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

88.0%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 97.0%

Foushee, 46+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Foushee, 49+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

76.0%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 88.0%

Foushee, 49+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Foushee, 52+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

68.0%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 74.0%

Foushee, 52+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Foushee, 55+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

55.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 56.0%

Foushee, 55+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Foushee, 58+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 37.0%

Foushee, 58+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Foushee, 61+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 9.6% · Ask 21.0%

Foushee, 61+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Foushee, 64+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 11.0%

Foushee, 64+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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