Market comparison

Number of Fed rate changes before 2027

2 venues · 26 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $3.8M reported volume

Observed 27s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 29, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $171K reported volume

Observed 27s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Number of Fed rate changes before 2027
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
April 2027 Meeting Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.5% Bid 21.0% · Ask 40.0% April 2027 Meeting Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
April Meeting Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% April Meeting · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
December 2026 Meeting Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.8% Bid 2.5% · Ask 3.0% December 2026 Meeting Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Exactly 0 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Exactly 0 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Exactly 1 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.5% Bid 16.8% · Ask 19.5% Exactly 1 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Exactly 2 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	67.9% Bid 64.4% · Ask 70.9% Exactly 2 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Exactly 3 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.2% Bid 10.1% · Ask 15.5% Exactly 3 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Exactly 4 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Exactly 4 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Exactly 5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.1% Exactly 5 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Exactly 6 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.3% Exactly 6 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Exactly 7 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.3% Exactly 7 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Exactly 8 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.3% Exactly 8 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Exactly 9 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.3% Exactly 9 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Exactly 10 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.2% Exactly 10 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Exactly 11 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.3% Exactly 11 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Exactly 12 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.2% Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.2% Exactly 12 Open Kalshi ↗	—
January 2027 Meeting Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.6% Bid 5.2% · Ask 8.0% January 2027 Meeting Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
July 2027 Meeting Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	51.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 79.0% July 2027 Meeting Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
June 2027 Meeting Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 49.0% June 2027 Meeting Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
June Meeting Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% June Meeting · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
June Meeting Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% January Meeting · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
June Meeting Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% July Meeting · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
March 2027 Meeting Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 15.0% March 2027 Meeting Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
March Meeting Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% March Meeting · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
October 2026 Meeting Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.4% October 2026 Meeting Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
September 2026 Meeting Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% September 2026 Meeting · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

April 2027 Meeting

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

30.5%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 40.0%

April 2027 Meeting

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

April Meeting

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

April Meeting · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

December 2026 Meeting

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 3.0%

December 2026 Meeting

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Exactly 0

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

0.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Exactly 0 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Exactly 1

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

19.5%

Bid 16.8% · Ask 19.5%

Exactly 1

Open Kalshi ↗

Exactly 2

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

67.9%

Bid 64.4% · Ask 70.9%

Exactly 2

Open Kalshi ↗

Exactly 3

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.2%

Bid 10.1% · Ask 15.5%

Exactly 3

Open Kalshi ↗

Exactly 4

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Exactly 4

Open Kalshi ↗

Exactly 5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

0.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.1%

Exactly 5

Open Kalshi ↗

Exactly 6

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

0.3%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.3%

Exactly 6

Open Kalshi ↗

Exactly 7

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

0.3%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.3%

Exactly 7

Open Kalshi ↗

Exactly 8

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

0.3%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.3%

Exactly 8

Open Kalshi ↗

Exactly 9

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

0.3%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.3%

Exactly 9

Open Kalshi ↗

Exactly 10

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

0.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.2%

Exactly 10

Open Kalshi ↗

Exactly 11

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

0.3%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.3%

Exactly 11

Open Kalshi ↗

Exactly 12

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

0.2%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.2%

Exactly 12

Open Kalshi ↗

January 2027 Meeting

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.6%

Bid 5.2% · Ask 8.0%

January 2027 Meeting

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

July 2027 Meeting

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

51.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 79.0%

July 2027 Meeting

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

June 2027 Meeting

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

30.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 49.0%

June 2027 Meeting

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

June Meeting

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

June Meeting · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

June Meeting

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

January Meeting · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

June Meeting

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

July Meeting · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

March 2027 Meeting

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 15.0%

March 2027 Meeting

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

March Meeting

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

March Meeting · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

October 2026 Meeting

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.4%

October 2026 Meeting

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

September 2026 Meeting

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

September 2026 Meeting · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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