Market comparison

October Unemployment Rate

2 venues · 31 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $18K reported volume

Observed 43s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 6, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

31 outcomes · $14K reported volume

Observed 43s ago

Observed 1m ago

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 16, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for October Unemployment Rate
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
3.8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5% ≤3.8% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
3.9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4% 3.9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.2% 4.0% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.1% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 29.0% 4.1% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	39.0% Bid 36.0% · Ask 42.0% 4.2% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.5% Bid 26.0% · Ask 29.0% 4.3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.1% Bid 1.2% · Ask 5.0% 4.4% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4% 4.5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.7% ≥4.6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Above 4.6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	98.5% Bid 98.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 4.6% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 4.7% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	98.5% Bid 98.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 4.7% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 4.8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	98.5% Bid 98.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 4.8% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 4.9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	97.0% Bid 97.0% · Ask 98.0% Above 4.9% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 5.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.0% Bid 92.0% · Ask 93.0% Above 5.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 5.1% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	29.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 29.0% Above 5.1% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 5.2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0% Above 5.2% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 5.3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% Above 5.3% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 5.4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Above 5.4% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 5.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Above 5.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 5.6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Above 5.6% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 5.9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 95.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 5.9% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	96.5% Bid 94.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 6.0% Open Kalshi ↗ 95.0% Bid 95.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 6.0% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.1% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	96.5% Bid 94.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 6.1% Open Kalshi ↗ 97.0% Bid 95.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 6.1% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.0% Bid 90.0% · Ask 98.0% Above 6.2% Open Kalshi ↗ 96.0% Bid 93.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 6.2% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.0% Bid 86.0% · Ask 92.0% Above 6.3% Open Kalshi ↗ 88.0% Bid 78.0% · Ask 88.0% Above 6.3% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	65.0% Bid 64.0% · Ask 73.0% Above 6.4% Open Kalshi ↗ 41.0% Bid 41.0% · Ask 51.0% Above 6.4% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	45.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 52.0% Above 6.5% Open Kalshi ↗ 12.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 20.0% Above 6.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 31.0% Above 6.6% Open Kalshi ↗ 4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0% Above 6.6% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.7% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 15.0% Above 6.7% Open Kalshi ↗ 3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Above 6.7% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.0% Above 6.8% Open Kalshi ↗ 3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Above 6.8% Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above 6.9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Above 6.9% Open Kalshi ↗	—

3.8%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5%

≤3.8%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

3.9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4%

3.9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.2%

4.0%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.1%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

28.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 29.0%

4.1%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.2%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

39.0%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 42.0%

4.2%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.5%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 29.0%

4.3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.4%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 5.0%

4.4%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4%

4.5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.7%

≥4.6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Above 4.6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

98.5%

Bid 98.0% · Ask 99.0%

Above 4.6%

October Unemployment Rate

Polymarket

Kalshi

3.8%

Polymarket

Kalshi

3.9%

Polymarket

Kalshi

4.0%

Polymarket

Kalshi

4.1%

Polymarket

Kalshi

4.2%

Polymarket

Kalshi

4.3%

Polymarket

Kalshi

4.4%

Polymarket

Kalshi

4.5%

Polymarket

Kalshi

4.6%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 4.6%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 4.7%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 4.8%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 4.9%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 5.0%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 5.1%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 5.2%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 5.3%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 5.4%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 5.5%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 5.6%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 5.9%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 6.0%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 6.1%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 6.2%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 6.3%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Above 6.4%

Polymarket