Market comparison

Ohio's 12th District margin of victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $19K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 7s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Ohio's 12th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Balderson, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	82.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 93.5% Balderson, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Balderson, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	78.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 84.0% Balderson, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Balderson, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	69.0% Bid 63.0% · Ask 75.0% Balderson, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Balderson, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	55.0% Bid 54.0% · Ask 66.0% Balderson, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Balderson, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	49.0% Bid 45.0% · Ask 57.0% Balderson, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Balderson, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	40.0% Bid 34.0% · Ask 46.0% Balderson, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Balderson, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 35.0% Balderson, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Balderson, 33+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 26.0% Balderson, 33+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Balderson, 36+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 16.0% Balderson, 36+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.7% Bid 0.8% · Ask 8.5% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.8% Bid 0.6% · Ask 4.9% Republican 0-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.3% Bid 1.3% · Ask 13.3% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.1% Bid 20.3% · Ask 21.9% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 26.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 14.0% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.1% Bid 9.5% · Ask 10.7% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 0.9% · Ask 9.1% Republican 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 40%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.6% Bid 2.1% · Ask 3.2% Republican 40%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Balderson, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

82.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 93.5%

Balderson, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Balderson, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

78.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 84.0%

Balderson, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Balderson, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

69.0%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 75.0%

Balderson, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Balderson, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

55.0%

Bid 54.0% · Ask 66.0%

Balderson, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Balderson, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 57.0%

Balderson, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Balderson, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

40.0%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 46.0%

Balderson, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Balderson, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 35.0%

Balderson, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Balderson, 33+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 26.0%

Balderson, 33+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Balderson, 36+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 16.0%

Balderson, 36+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 8.5%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 4.9%

Republican 0-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.3%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 13.3%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.1%

Bid 20.3% · Ask 21.9%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 26.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 14.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.1%

Bid 9.5% · Ask 10.7%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 9.1%

Republican 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 40%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 3.2%

Republican 40%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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