Market comparison

Oklahoma Senate margin of victory

2 venues · 21 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $14K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 38s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Oklahoma Senate margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.9% Bid 0.6% · Ask 3.3% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Hern, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.0% Bid 86.0% · Ask 94.2% Hern, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hern, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.0% Bid 77.0% · Ask 88.0% Hern, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hern, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	77.0% Bid 69.0% · Ask 81.0% Hern, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hern, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	67.0% Bid 63.0% · Ask 74.0% Hern, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hern, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	56.0% Bid 53.0% · Ask 62.0% Hern, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hern, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	41.0% Bid 40.0% · Ask 52.0% Hern, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hern, 29+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	37.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 42.0% Hern, 29+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hern, 31+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	33.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 33.0% Hern, 31+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hern, 33+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 26.0% Hern, 33+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hern, 35+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.6% Bid 7.4% · Ask 19.0% Hern, 35+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hern, 37+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 14.0% Hern, 37+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.8% Bid 5.5% · Ask 6.0% Republican 0-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.3% Bid 3.2% · Ask 11.5% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	37.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 58.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 24.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 24.0% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0% Republican 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.9% Bid 0.4% · Ask 3.4% Republican 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 45%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 0.7% · Ask 3.6% Republican 45%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 3.3%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Hern, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 94.2%

Hern, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hern, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 88.0%

Hern, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hern, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

77.0%

Bid 69.0% · Ask 81.0%

Hern, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hern, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

67.0%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 74.0%

Hern, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hern, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

56.0%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 62.0%

Hern, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hern, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

41.0%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 52.0%

Hern, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hern, 29+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 42.0%

Hern, 29+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hern, 31+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 33.0%

Hern, 31+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hern, 33+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 26.0%

Hern, 33+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hern, 35+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.6%

Bid 7.4% · Ask 19.0%

Hern, 35+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hern, 37+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 14.0%

Hern, 37+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.8%

Bid 5.5% · Ask 6.0%

Republican 0-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.3%

Bid 3.2% · Ask 11.5%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

37.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 58.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 24.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 24.0%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0%

Republican 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 3.4%

Republican 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 45%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 3.6%

Republican 45%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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