Market comparison

Oklahoma's 3rd District margin of victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $30K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 54s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Oklahoma's 3rd District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Lucas, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.2% Bid 88.0% · Ask 98.3% Lucas, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lucas, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	89.0% Bid 77.0% · Ask 89.0% Lucas, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lucas, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	73.0% Bid 67.0% · Ask 79.0% Lucas, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lucas, 33+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	68.0% Bid 57.0% · Ask 69.0% Lucas, 33+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lucas, 36+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	53.0% Bid 47.0% · Ask 59.0% Lucas, 36+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lucas, 39+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	47.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 49.0% Lucas, 39+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lucas, 42+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	32.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 38.0% Lucas, 42+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lucas, 45+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 27.0% Lucas, 45+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lucas, 48+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 6.3% · Ask 15.0% Lucas, 48+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.8% Bid 0.7% · Ask 10.8% Republican 0-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 0.9% · Ask 3.2% Republican 10-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.1% Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.4% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.3% Bid 10.7% · Ask 12.0% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 16.6% · Ask 17.4% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 33.0% Republican 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 15.0% Republican 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.8% Bid 8.7% · Ask 8.9% Republican 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 50%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.6% Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.3% Republican 50%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Lucas, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.2%

Bid 88.0% · Ask 98.3%

Lucas, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lucas, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

89.0%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 89.0%

Lucas, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lucas, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

73.0%

Bid 67.0% · Ask 79.0%

Lucas, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lucas, 33+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

68.0%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 69.0%

Lucas, 33+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lucas, 36+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

53.0%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 59.0%

Lucas, 36+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lucas, 39+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

47.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 49.0%

Lucas, 39+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lucas, 42+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 38.0%

Lucas, 42+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lucas, 45+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 27.0%

Lucas, 45+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lucas, 48+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 6.3% · Ask 15.0%

Lucas, 48+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.8%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 10.8%

Republican 0-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 3.2%

Republican 10-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.4%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.3%

Bid 10.7% · Ask 12.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.0%

Bid 16.6% · Ask 17.4%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

30.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 33.0%

Republican 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 15.0%

Republican 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.8%

Bid 8.7% · Ask 8.9%

Republican 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 50%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.6%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.3%

Republican 50%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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