Market comparison
Ontario Liberal Party leadership election winner?
2 venues · 13 outcome rows · 5 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗54 outcomes · $27K reported volume
Observed 2m ago
Observed 50s ago
Recorded venue end date: Nov 10, 2026
Kalshi
Open venue ↗5 outcomes · $3K reported volume
Observed 50s ago
Recorded venue end date: Nov 21, 2027
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Dylan Marando Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 6.9 pp | ||
Eric Lombardi Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 0.9 pp | ||
Lee Fairclough Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 8.5 pp | ||
Navdeep Bains Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 2.5 pp | ||
Stephanie Bowman Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 3.6 pp | ||
Aaron Gunn Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Caroline Elliott Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Chip Wilson Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Claire Rattée Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Iain Black Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Sheldon Clare Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Stockwell Day Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Yuri Fulmer Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Dylan Marando
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 6.9 pp
Eric Lombardi
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.9 pp
Lee Fairclough
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 8.5 pp
Navdeep Bains
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 2.5 pp
Stephanie Bowman
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 3.6 pp
Aaron Gunn
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Caroline Elliott
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Chip Wilson
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Claire Rattée
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Iain Black
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Sheldon Clare
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Stockwell Day
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Yuri Fulmer
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.