Market comparison

Oregon Governor margin of victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $23K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $16K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Oregon Governor margin of victory
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Drazan 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.1% Bid 10.0% · Ask 10.2% Drazan 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Drazan 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 5.4% · Ask 6.7% Drazan 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Drazan 6%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0% Drazan 6%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Kotek 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.2% Bid 8.4% · Ask 10.0% Kotek 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Kotek 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.6% Bid 5.2% · Ask 7.9% Kotek 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Kotek 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.8% Bid 19.5% · Ask 20.0% Kotek 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Kotek 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.5% Bid 18.0% · Ask 19.0% Kotek 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Kotek 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 13.0% Kotek 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Kotek 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.8% Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.6% Kotek 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Kotek 18%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.7% Bid 1.1% · Ask 8.3% Kotek 18%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Kotek, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	70.0% Bid 70.0% · Ask 72.0% Kotek, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Kotek, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	52.0% Bid 52.0% · Ask 54.0% Kotek, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Kotek, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	29.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 30.0% Kotek, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Kotek, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 21.0% Kotek, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Kotek, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 12.0% Kotek, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Kotek, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.4% Kotek, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Kotek, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Kotek, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Kotek, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Kotek, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Kotek, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Kotek, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Drazan 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

10.1%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 10.2%

Drazan 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Drazan 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 5.4% · Ask 6.7%

Drazan 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Drazan 6%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

Drazan 6%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kotek 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

9.2%

Bid 8.4% · Ask 10.0%

Kotek 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kotek 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

6.6%

Bid 5.2% · Ask 7.9%

Kotek 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kotek 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

19.8%

Bid 19.5% · Ask 20.0%

Kotek 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kotek 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

18.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 19.0%

Kotek 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kotek 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

12.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 13.0%

Kotek 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kotek 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.6%

Kotek 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kotek 18%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 8.3%

Kotek 18%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kotek, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

70.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 72.0%

Kotek, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Kotek, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

52.0%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 54.0%

Kotek, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Kotek, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 30.0%

Kotek, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Kotek, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 21.0%

Kotek, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Kotek, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 12.0%

Kotek, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Kotek, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.4%

Kotek, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Kotek, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Kotek, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Kotek, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Kotek, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Kotek, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Kotek, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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