Market comparison

Oregon Senate margin of victory

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $12K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 15s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Oregon Senate margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.2% Bid 1.0% · Ask 21.3% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.2% Bid 0.9% · Ask 7.4% Democrat 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.7% Bid 12.7% · Ask 18.7% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 27.0% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 20.0% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 27.0% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 0.8% · Ask 6.2% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.6% Bid 0.9% · Ask 16.2% Democrat 35%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Merkley, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.9% Bid 89.0% · Ask 98.8% Merkley, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Merkley, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	88.0% Bid 86.0% · Ask 96.9% Merkley, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Merkley, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	91.4% Bid 81.0% · Ask 91.4% Merkley, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Merkley, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	73.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 84.0% Merkley, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Merkley, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	66.0% Bid 64.0% · Ask 75.0% Merkley, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Merkley, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	57.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 65.0% Merkley, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Merkley, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	44.0% Bid 44.0% · Ask 56.0% Merkley, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Merkley, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	39.0% Bid 34.0% · Ask 45.0% Merkley, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Merkley, 29+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 35.0% Merkley, 29+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Merkley, 31+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	22.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 26.0% Merkley, 31+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Merkley, 33+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.5% Bid 7.4% · Ask 19.0% Merkley, 33+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.6% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.2%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 21.3%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 7.4%

Democrat 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.7%

Bid 12.7% · Ask 18.7%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 27.0%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 20.0%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 27.0%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 6.2%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.6%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 16.2%

Democrat 35%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Merkley, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.9%

Bid 89.0% · Ask 98.8%

Merkley, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Merkley, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

88.0%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 96.9%

Merkley, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Merkley, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

91.4%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 91.4%

Merkley, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Merkley, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

73.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 84.0%

Merkley, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Merkley, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

66.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 75.0%

Merkley, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Merkley, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

57.0%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 65.0%

Merkley, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Merkley, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

44.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 56.0%

Merkley, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Merkley, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

39.0%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 45.0%

Merkley, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Merkley, 29+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 35.0%

Merkley, 29+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Merkley, 31+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 26.0%

Merkley, 31+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Merkley, 33+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.5%

Bid 7.4% · Ask 19.0%

Merkley, 33+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.6%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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