Market comparison

Oregon's 5th District margin of victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $17K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $11K reported volume

Observed 5m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Oregon's 5th District margin of victory
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Bynum, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	91.9% Bid 89.0% · Ask 96.0% Bynum, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bynum, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	85.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 95.3% Bynum, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bynum, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	82.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 87.0% Bynum, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bynum, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	74.0% Bid 67.0% · Ask 77.0% Bynum, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bynum, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	61.0% Bid 53.0% · Ask 65.0% Bynum, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bynum, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	46.0% Bid 40.0% · Ask 52.0% Bynum, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bynum, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	33.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 39.0% Bynum, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bynum, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 28.0% Bynum, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bynum, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 6.8% · Ask 18.0% Bynum, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.5% Bid 2.2% · Ask 6.7% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.4% Bid 0.8% · Ask 8.0% Democrat 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 16.1% · Ask 17.8% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 26.0% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	22.4% Bid 21.2% · Ask 23.6% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 12.0% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 30%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0% Democrat 30%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—

Bynum, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

91.9%

Bid 89.0% · Ask 96.0%

Bynum, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bynum, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 95.3%

Bynum, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bynum, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

82.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 87.0%

Bynum, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bynum, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

74.0%

Bid 67.0% · Ask 77.0%

Bynum, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bynum, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

61.0%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 65.0%

Bynum, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bynum, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

46.0%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 52.0%

Bynum, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bynum, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 39.0%

Bynum, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bynum, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 28.0%

Bynum, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bynum, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 6.8% · Ask 18.0%

Bynum, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 2.2% · Ask 6.7%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.4%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 8.0%

Democrat 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

17.0%

Bid 16.1% · Ask 17.8%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

15.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 26.0%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

22.4%

Bid 21.2% · Ask 23.6%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 12.0%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0%

Democrat 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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