Market comparison

Oregon's 6th District margin of victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $39K reported volume

Observed 9s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 9s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Oregon's 6th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.8% Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.8% Democrat 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.8% Bid 3.4% · Ask 8.1% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 16.0% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.5% Bid 28.0% · Ask 29.0% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.8% Bid 4.1% · Ask 17.6% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 5.5% · Ask 8.6% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 1.2% · Ask 7.8% Democrat 35%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Salinas, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	95.4% Bid 92.5% · Ask 98.3% Salinas, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Salinas, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	90.2% Bid 90.2% · Ask 98.3% Salinas, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Salinas, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	90.1% Bid 86.0% · Ask 97.7% Salinas, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Salinas, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	78.0% Bid 78.0% · Ask 88.0% Salinas, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Salinas, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	66.0% Bid 66.0% · Ask 77.0% Salinas, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Salinas, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	56.5% Bid 51.0% · Ask 62.0% Salinas, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Salinas, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	36.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 47.0% Salinas, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Salinas, 28+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	22.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 33.0% Salinas, 28+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Salinas, 31+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 9.5% · Ask 20.0% Salinas, 31+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Salinas, 34+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.3% Bid 1.5% · Ask 13.0% Salinas, 34+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.8%

Democrat 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.8%

Bid 3.4% · Ask 8.1%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 16.0%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

28.5%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 29.0%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.8%

Bid 4.1% · Ask 17.6%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 5.5% · Ask 8.6%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 7.8%

Democrat 35%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Salinas, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

95.4%

Bid 92.5% · Ask 98.3%

Salinas, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Salinas, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

90.2%

Bid 90.2% · Ask 98.3%

Salinas, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Salinas, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

90.1%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 97.7%

Salinas, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Salinas, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

78.0%

Bid 78.0% · Ask 88.0%

Salinas, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Salinas, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

66.0%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 77.0%

Salinas, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Salinas, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

56.5%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 62.0%

Salinas, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Salinas, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

36.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 47.0%

Salinas, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Salinas, 28+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 33.0%

Salinas, 28+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Salinas, 31+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 9.5% · Ask 20.0%

Salinas, 31+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Salinas, 34+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.3%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 13.0%

Salinas, 34+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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