Market comparison

Oscar for Best Director?

2 venues · 58 outcome rows · 15 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

18 outcomes · $244K reported volume

Observed 28s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

70 outcomes · $75K reported volume

Observed 25s ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 14, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Oscar for Best Director?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Alejandro G. Iñárritu Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Alejandro G. Iñárritu Open Kalshi ↗	2.5% Bid 0.3% · Ask 4.7% Alejandro G. Iñárritu Open Polymarket ↗	0.5 pp
Andrew Haigh Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Andrew Haigh Open Kalshi ↗	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Andrew Haigh Open Polymarket ↗ 5.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 8.0% Andrew Haigh Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ben Affleck Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Ben Affleck Open Kalshi ↗	4.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.0% Ben Affleck Open Polymarket ↗	3.5 pp
Christopher Nolan Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	56.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 56.0% Christopher Nolan Open Kalshi ↗	62.5% Bid 61.0% · Ask 64.0% Christopher Nolan Open Polymarket ↗ 89.5% Bid 86.9% · Ask 92.2% Christopher Nolan Open Polymarket ↗	—
Danny Boyle Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Danny Boyle Open Kalshi ↗	5.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.0% Danny Boyle Open Polymarket ↗	4.5 pp
David Fincher Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% David Fincher Open Kalshi ↗	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% David Fincher Open Polymarket ↗ 11.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0% David Fincher Open Polymarket ↗	—
Denis Villeneuve Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	16.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0% Denis Villeneuve Open Kalshi ↗	15.5% Bid 15.0% · Ask 16.0% Denis Villeneuve Open Polymarket ↗ 47.5% Bid 44.0% · Ask 51.0% Denis Villeneuve Open Polymarket ↗	—
Janus Metz Pedersen Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Janus Metz Pedersen Open Kalshi ↗	4.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.0% Janus Metz Pedersen Open Polymarket ↗	3.5 pp
Jesse Eisenberg Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Jesse Eisenberg Open Kalshi ↗	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Jesse Eisenberg Open Polymarket ↗ 15.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 18.0% Jesse Eisenberg Open Polymarket ↗	—
Joel Coen Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Joel Coen Open Kalshi ↗	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Joel Coen Open Polymarket ↗ 4.4% Bid 1.6% · Ask 7.2% Joel Coen Open Polymarket ↗	—
Martin McDonagh Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% Martin McDonagh Open Kalshi ↗	1.7% Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.9% Martin McDonagh Open Polymarket ↗ 72.0% Bid 70.0% · Ask 74.0% Martin McDonagh Open Polymarket ↗	—
Mike Leigh Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Mike Leigh Open Kalshi ↗	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Mike Leigh Open Polymarket ↗ 2.3% Bid 1.1% · Ask 3.5% Mike Leigh Open Polymarket ↗	—
Na Hong-jin Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Na Hong-jin Open Kalshi ↗	6.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 8.0% Na Hong-jin Open Polymarket ↗	5.0 pp
Olivia Wilde Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Olivia Wilde Open Kalshi ↗	1.5% Bid 1.1% · Ask 1.9% Olivia Wilde Open Polymarket ↗ 48.5% Bid 44.0% · Ask 53.0% Olivia Wilde Open Polymarket ↗	—
Steven Spielberg Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Steven Spielberg Open Kalshi ↗	1.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.6% Steven Spielberg Open Polymarket ↗ 3.8% Bid 1.5% · Ask 6.0% Steven Spielberg Open Polymarket ↗	—
Aaron Sorkin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.9% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.8% Aaron Sorkin Open Polymarket ↗ 4.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 5.0% Aaron Sorkin Open Polymarket ↗	—
Alejandro González Iñárritu Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.5% Bid 8.0% · Ask 13.0% Alejandro González Iñárritu Open Polymarket ↗	—
Bassam Tariq Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.6% Bassam Tariq Open Polymarket ↗	—
Beth de Araujo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.0% Beth de Araujo Open Polymarket ↗	—
Christopher Miller Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 11.0% Christopher Miller Open Polymarket ↗	—
Cristian Mungiu Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Cristian Mungiu Open Polymarket ↗ 21.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 24.0% Cristian Mungiu Open Polymarket ↗	—
Curry Barker Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.0% Bid 8.3% · Ask 9.7% Curry Barker Open Polymarket ↗	—
David O. Russell Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.9% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.8% David O. Russell Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director H Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director H · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director J Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director J · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director K · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director L Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director L · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director M · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director N Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director N · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director O Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director O · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director P Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director P · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director Q Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director Q · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director R Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director R · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director S Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director S · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director T Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director T · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director U Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director U · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director V Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director V · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director W Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director W · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director X Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director X · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director Y Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director Y · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Director Z Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Director Z · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
James Ashcroft Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.9% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.9% James Ashcroft Open Polymarket ↗	—
Javier Ambrossi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	81.5% Bid 78.0% · Ask 85.0% Javier Ambrossi Open Polymarket ↗	—
Javier Calvo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.5% Bid 84.0% · Ask 89.0% Javier Calvo Open Polymarket ↗	—
Javier Calvo and Javier Ambrossi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0% Javier Calvo and Javier Ambrossi Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Javier Calvo or Javier Ambrossi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 18.0% Javier Calvo or Javier Ambrossi Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jordan Firstman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4% Jordan Firstman Open Polymarket ↗	—
Lance Oppenheim Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.3% Bid 1.9% · Ask 8.7% Lance Oppenheim Open Polymarket ↗	—
Nathan Fielder Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	54.8% Bid 47.4% · Ask 62.1% Nathan Fielder Open Polymarket ↗	—
Paweł Pawlikowski Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.5% Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.0% Paweł Pawlikowski Open Polymarket ↗	—
Peter Farrelly Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.5% Bid 0.3% · Ask 4.8% Peter Farrelly Open Polymarket ↗ 11.5% Bid 9.0% · Ask 14.0% Peter Farrelly Open Polymarket ↗	—
Phil Lord Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.8% Bid 6.2% · Ask 11.5% Phil Lord Open Polymarket ↗	—
Phil Lord & Christopher Miller Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Phil Lord & Christopher Miller Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Phil Lord or Christopher Miller Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.9% Phil Lord or Christopher Miller Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ryusuke Hamaguchi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.8% Ryusuke Hamaguchi Open Polymarket ↗ 29.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 30.0% Ryusuke Hamaguchi Open Polymarket ↗	—
Tie Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Tie Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Tony Gilroy Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.7% Bid 5.3% · Ask 10.1% Tony Gilroy Open Polymarket ↗	—
xxxxx Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% xxxxx · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—

Alejandro G. Iñárritu

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Alejandro G. Iñárritu

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 4.7%

Alejandro G. Iñárritu

Oscar for Best Director?

Kalshi

Polymarket

Alejandro G. Iñárritu

Kalshi

Polymarket

Andrew Haigh

Kalshi

Polymarket

Ben Affleck

Kalshi

Polymarket

Christopher Nolan

Kalshi

Polymarket

Danny Boyle

Kalshi

Polymarket

David Fincher

Kalshi

Polymarket

Denis Villeneuve

Kalshi

Polymarket

Janus Metz Pedersen

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jesse Eisenberg

Kalshi

Polymarket

Joel Coen

Kalshi

Polymarket

Martin McDonagh

Kalshi

Polymarket

Mike Leigh

Kalshi

Polymarket

Na Hong-jin

Kalshi

Polymarket

Olivia Wilde

Kalshi

Polymarket

Steven Spielberg

Kalshi

Polymarket

Aaron Sorkin

Kalshi

Polymarket

Alejandro González Iñárritu

Kalshi

Polymarket

Bassam Tariq

Kalshi

Polymarket

Beth de Araujo

Kalshi

Polymarket

Christopher Miller

Kalshi

Polymarket

Cristian Mungiu

Kalshi

Polymarket

Curry Barker

Kalshi

Polymarket

David O. Russell

Kalshi

Polymarket

Director H

Kalshi

Polymarket

Director J

Kalshi

Polymarket

Director K

Kalshi