Market comparison

Oscar nominations for Best Actress?

2 venues · 59 outcome rows · 26 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

26 outcomes · $320K reported volume

Observed 22s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

81 outcomes · $230K reported volume

Observed 22s ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 14, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Oscar nominations for Best Actress?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Anne Hathaway Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	11.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 11.0% Anne Hathaway Open Kalshi ↗	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.7% Anne Hathaway Open Polymarket ↗ 87.5% Bid 86.0% · Ask 89.0% Anne Hathaway Open Polymarket ↗ 3.8% Bid 2.0% · Ask 5.5% Anne Hathaway Open Polymarket ↗	—
Cynthia Erivo Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 8.0% Cynthia Erivo Open Kalshi ↗	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.7% Cynthia Erivo Open Polymarket ↗ 6.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0% Cynthia Erivo Open Polymarket ↗	—
Daisy Edgar-Jones Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	9.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0% Daisy Edgar-Jones Open Kalshi ↗	4.6% Bid 2.6% · Ask 6.6% Daisy Edgar-Jones Open Polymarket ↗	4.4 pp
Dakota Johnson Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 7.0% Dakota Johnson Open Kalshi ↗	4.8% Bid 2.6% · Ask 7.0% Dakota Johnson Open Polymarket ↗	1.2 pp
Emily Blunt Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	11.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0% Emily Blunt Open Kalshi ↗	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.7% Emily Blunt Open Polymarket ↗ 10.8% Bid 10.4% · Ask 11.3% Emily Blunt Open Polymarket ↗	—
Inde Navarrette Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	78.0% Bid 78.0% · Ask 81.0% Inde Navarrette Open Kalshi ↗	17.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0% Inde Navarrette Open Polymarket ↗ 1.1% Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.2% Inde Navarrette Open Polymarket ↗ 79.0% Bid 78.0% · Ask 80.0% Inde Navarrette Open Polymarket ↗	—
Joan Collins Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 16.0% Joan Collins Open Kalshi ↗	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.7% Joan Collins Open Polymarket ↗ 5.5% Bid 4.5% · Ask 6.5% Joan Collins Open Polymarket ↗	—
Julianne Moore Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	91.0% Bid 91.0% · Ask 96.0% Julianne Moore Open Kalshi ↗	74.5% Bid 74.0% · Ask 75.0% Julianne Moore Open Polymarket ↗ 95.0% Bid 94.0% · Ask 96.0% Julianne Moore Open Polymarket ↗	—
Kirsten Dunst Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	7.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0% Kirsten Dunst Open Kalshi ↗	1.2% Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.2% Kirsten Dunst Open Polymarket ↗	5.8 pp
Laura Linney Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 9.0% Laura Linney Open Kalshi ↗	4.0% Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.9% Laura Linney Open Polymarket ↗	0.0 pp
Lily Gladstone Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Lily Gladstone Open Kalshi ↗	1.8% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.5% Lily Gladstone Open Polymarket ↗	0.8 pp
Michelle Monaghan Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	7.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0% Michelle Monaghan Open Kalshi ↗	5.3% Bid 2.3% · Ask 8.4% Michelle Monaghan Open Polymarket ↗	1.7 pp
Michelle Williams Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	7.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0% Michelle Williams Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Michelle Williams Open Polymarket ↗ 7.1% Bid 5.1% · Ask 9.2% Michelle Williams Open Polymarket ↗	—
Mikey Madison Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	7.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.0% Mikey Madison Open Kalshi ↗	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.7% Mikey Madison Open Polymarket ↗ 8.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0% Mikey Madison Open Polymarket ↗	—
Natalie Portman Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Natalie Portman Open Kalshi ↗	6.5% Bid 5.3% · Ask 7.6% Natalie Portman Open Polymarket ↗	0.5 pp
Olivia Wilde Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	67.0% Bid 62.0% · Ask 68.0% Olivia Wilde Open Kalshi ↗	0.6% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.9% Olivia Wilde Open Polymarket ↗ 68.0% Bid 53.0% · Ask 83.0% Olivia Wilde Open Polymarket ↗	—
Penélope Cruz Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 7.0% Penélope Cruz Open Kalshi ↗	75.0% Bid 74.0% · Ask 76.0% Penélope Cruz Open Polymarket ↗ 5.3% Bid 3.1% · Ask 7.6% Penélope Cruz Open Polymarket ↗	—
Renate Reinsve Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	51.0% Bid 41.0% · Ask 51.0% Renate Reinsve Open Kalshi ↗	2.3% Bid 2.0% · Ask 2.5% Renate Reinsve Open Polymarket ↗ 47.5% Bid 46.0% · Ask 49.0% Renate Reinsve Open Polymarket ↗	—
Rosalind Eleazar Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	15.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 17.0% Rosalind Eleazar Open Kalshi ↗	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.7% Rosalind Eleazar Open Polymarket ↗ 12.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 15.0% Rosalind Eleazar Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ruth Madeley Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	44.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 45.0% Ruth Madeley Open Kalshi ↗	0.8% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.3% Ruth Madeley Open Polymarket ↗ 44.0% Bid 43.0% · Ask 45.0% Ruth Madeley Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sandra Hüller Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	68.0% Bid 62.0% · Ask 68.0% Sandra Hüller Open Kalshi ↗	5.3% Bid 4.7% · Ask 5.9% Sandra Hüller Open Polymarket ↗ 24.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 27.0% Sandra Hüller Open Polymarket ↗ 64.5% Bid 63.0% · Ask 66.0% Sandra Hüller Open Polymarket ↗	—
Scarlett Johansson Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	7.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 7.0% Scarlett Johansson Open Kalshi ↗	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Scarlett Johansson Open Polymarket ↗ 3.3% Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.5% Scarlett Johansson Open Polymarket ↗	—
Shailene Woodley Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	7.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0% Shailene Woodley Open Kalshi ↗	2.9% Bid 0.3% · Ask 5.5% Shailene Woodley Open Polymarket ↗	4.1 pp
Sophie Okonedo Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	7.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0% Sophie Okonedo Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Sophie Okonedo Open Polymarket ↗ 6.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0% Sophie Okonedo Open Polymarket ↗	—
Virginie Efira Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	44.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 44.0% Virginie Efira Open Kalshi ↗	1.3% Bid 0.7% · Ask 1.9% Virginie Efira Open Polymarket ↗ 41.5% Bid 39.0% · Ask 44.0% Virginie Efira Open Polymarket ↗	—
Zendaya Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Zendaya Open Kalshi ↗	15.5% Bid 14.0% · Ask 17.0% Zendaya Open Polymarket ↗ 4.3% Bid 3.2% · Ask 5.5% Zendaya Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actress I Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress I · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actress J Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress J · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actress K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress K · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actress L Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress L · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actress M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress M · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actress N Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress N · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actress O Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress O · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actress P Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress P · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actress Q Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress Q · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actress R Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress R · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actress S Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress S · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actress T Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress T · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actress U Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress U · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actress V Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress V · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actress W Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress W · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actress X Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress X · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actress Y Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress Y · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actress Z Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actress Z · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Amanda Seyfried Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	58.0% Bid 57.0% · Ask 59.0% Amanda Seyfried Open Polymarket ↗	—
Betty Gilpin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.4% Bid 4.1% · Ask 12.7% Betty Gilpin Open Polymarket ↗	—
Danielle Deadwyler Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.1% Bid 1.1% · Ask 33.0% Danielle Deadwyler Open Polymarket ↗	—
Gemma Chan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 10.0% Gemma Chan Open Polymarket ↗	—
Isabella Rossellini Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.9% Isabella Rossellini Open Polymarket ↗	—
Kate O'Flynn Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	38.5% Bid 25.0% · Ask 52.0% Kate O'Flynn Open Polymarket ↗	—
Léa Seydoux Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4% Léa Seydoux Open Polymarket ↗	—
Margaret Qualley Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.5% Bid 0.5% · Ask 6.5% Margaret Qualley Open Polymarket ↗	—
Mariana di Girolamo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	29.5% Bid 29.0% · Ask 30.0% Mariana di Girolamo Open Polymarket ↗	—
Merritt Wever Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 14.0% Merritt Wever Open Polymarket ↗	—
Olivia Colman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	35.5% Bid 34.0% · Ask 37.0% Olivia Colman Open Polymarket ↗	—
Parker Posey Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 25.0% Parker Posey Open Polymarket ↗	—
Rachel Brosnahan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Rachel Brosnahan Open Polymarket ↗	—
Samantha Morton Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	73.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 74.0% Samantha Morton Open Polymarket ↗	—
Tao Okamoto Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	62.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 64.0% Tao Okamoto Open Polymarket ↗	—

Anne Hathaway

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 11.0%

Anne Hathaway

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.7%

Anne Hathaway

Oscar nominations for Best Actress?

Kalshi

Polymarket

Anne Hathaway

Kalshi

Polymarket

Cynthia Erivo

Kalshi

Polymarket

Daisy Edgar-Jones

Kalshi

Polymarket

Dakota Johnson

Kalshi

Polymarket

Emily Blunt

Kalshi

Polymarket

Inde Navarrette

Kalshi

Polymarket

Joan Collins

Kalshi

Polymarket

Julianne Moore

Kalshi

Polymarket

Kirsten Dunst

Kalshi

Polymarket

Laura Linney

Kalshi

Polymarket

Lily Gladstone

Kalshi

Polymarket

Michelle Monaghan

Kalshi

Polymarket

Michelle Williams

Kalshi

Polymarket

Mikey Madison

Kalshi

Polymarket

Natalie Portman

Kalshi

Polymarket

Olivia Wilde

Kalshi

Polymarket

Penélope Cruz

Kalshi

Polymarket

Renate Reinsve

Kalshi

Polymarket

Rosalind Eleazar

Kalshi

Polymarket

Ruth Madeley

Kalshi

Polymarket

Sandra Hüller

Kalshi

Polymarket

Scarlett Johansson

Kalshi

Polymarket

Shailene Woodley

Kalshi

Polymarket

Sophie Okonedo

Kalshi

Polymarket

Virginie Efira

Kalshi

Polymarket

Zendaya

Kalshi