Market comparison

Oscar nominations for Best Adapted Screenplay?

2 venues · 56 outcome rows · 15 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

15 outcomes · $47K reported volume

Observed 25s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

75 outcomes · $97K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 14, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Oscar nominations for Best Adapted Screenplay?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
All of a Sudden Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	64.0% Bid 57.0% · Ask 64.0% All of a Sudden Open Kalshi ↗	5.8% Bid 0.3% · Ask 11.3% All of a Sudden Open Polymarket ↗ 59.0% Bid 56.0% · Ask 62.0% All of a Sudden Open Polymarket ↗	—
Clarissa Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	11.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 16.0% Clarissa Open Kalshi ↗	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.8% Clarissa Open Polymarket ↗ 12.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 13.0% Clarissa Open Polymarket ↗	—
Cry to Heaven Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	10.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 18.0% Cry to Heaven Open Kalshi ↗	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9% Cry to Heaven Open Polymarket ↗ 4.0% Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.8% Cry to Heaven Open Polymarket ↗	—
Dune: Part Three Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	30.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 35.0% Dune: Part Three Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Dune: Part Three Open Polymarket ↗ 26.5% Bid 24.0% · Ask 29.0% Dune: Part Three Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ink Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	24.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 25.0% Ink Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Ink Open Polymarket ↗ 15.5% Bid 14.0% · Ask 17.0% Ink Open Polymarket ↗	—
Project Hail Mary Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	76.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 76.0% Project Hail Mary Open Kalshi ↗	2.3% Bid 1.3% · Ask 3.3% Project Hail Mary Open Polymarket ↗ 80.0% Bid 74.0% · Ask 86.0% Project Hail Mary Open Polymarket ↗	—
Saturn Return Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Saturn Return Open Kalshi ↗	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Saturn Return Open Polymarket ↗ 5.3% Bid 0.5% · Ask 10.2% Saturn Return Open Polymarket ↗	—
The Black Ball Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	83.0% Bid 83.0% · Ask 92.0% The Black Ball Open Kalshi ↗	47.0% Bid 46.0% · Ask 48.0% The Black Ball Open Polymarket ↗ 2.1% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.2% The Black Ball Open Polymarket ↗ 86.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 90.0% The Black Ball Open Polymarket ↗	—
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	25.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.0% The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Open Kalshi ↗	2.9% Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.7% The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Open Polymarket ↗ 28.8% Bid 28.8% · Ask 28.9% The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Open Polymarket ↗	—
The Invite Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	89.0% Bid 87.0% · Ask 89.0% The Invite Open Kalshi ↗	20.5% Bid 19.0% · Ask 22.0% The Invite Open Polymarket ↗ 3.9% Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.7% The Invite Open Polymarket ↗ 93.5% Bid 90.0% · Ask 97.0% The Invite Open Polymarket ↗	—
The Odyssey Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	91.0% Bid 91.0% · Ask 96.0% The Odyssey Open Kalshi ↗	22.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 23.0% The Odyssey Open Polymarket ↗ 4.0% Bid 0.3% · Ask 7.6% The Odyssey Open Polymarket ↗ 88.5% Bid 87.0% · Ask 90.0% The Odyssey Open Polymarket ↗	—
The Social Reckoning Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.0% The Social Reckoning Open Kalshi ↗	1.4% Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.4% The Social Reckoning Open Polymarket ↗ 3.5% Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.0% The Social Reckoning Open Polymarket ↗	—
The Whisper Man Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 11.0% The Whisper Man Open Kalshi ↗	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.7% The Whisper Man Open Polymarket ↗ 3.9% Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.6% The Whisper Man Open Polymarket ↗	—
Toy Story 5 Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	7.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 9.0% Toy Story 5 Open Kalshi ↗	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.8% Toy Story 5 Open Polymarket ↗ 3.1% Bid 3.0% · Ask 3.2% Toy Story 5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Wildwood Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	8.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 13.0% Wildwood Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Wildwood Open Polymarket ↗ 5.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 7.0% Wildwood Open Polymarket ↗	—
A Place in Hell Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.6% Bid 0.3% · Ask 6.9% A Place in Hell Open Polymarket ↗	—
Behemoth! Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.5% Bid 19.0% · Ask 24.0% Behemoth! Open Polymarket ↗	—
Club Kid Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	58.5% Bid 57.0% · Ask 60.0% Club Kid Open Polymarket ↗	—
Digger Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0% Digger Open Polymarket ↗	—
Elsinore Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	28.5% Bid 27.0% · Ask 30.0% Elsinore Open Polymarket ↗	—
Fatherland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 1.5% · Ask 4.5% Fatherland Open Polymarket ↗	—
Fjord Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	46.0% Bid 44.0% · Ask 48.0% Fjord Open Polymarket ↗	—
Forgotten Island Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.5% Bid 2.1% · Ask 4.9% Forgotten Island Open Polymarket ↗	—
Josephine Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.5% Bid 8.0% · Ask 11.0% Josephine Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie A Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie A · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie B · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie C Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie C · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie D Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie D · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie E Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie E · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie F Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie F · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie G Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie G · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie H Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie H · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie I Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie I · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie J Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie J · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie K · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie L Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie L · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie M · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie N Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie N · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie O Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie O · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie P Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie P · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie Q Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Q · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie R Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie R · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie S Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie S · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie T Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie T · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie U Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie U · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie V Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie V · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie W Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie W · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie X Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie X · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie Y Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Y · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie Z Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Z · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Obsession Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	51.0% Bid 49.0% · Ask 53.0% Obsession Open Polymarket ↗	—
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 19.0% Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma Open Polymarket ↗	—
The Adventures of Cliff Booth Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.9% The Adventures of Cliff Booth Open Polymarket ↗	—
The Debut Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	83.5% Bid 81.0% · Ask 86.0% The Debut Open Polymarket ↗	—
The Drama Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 23.0% The Drama Open Polymarket ↗	—
Wild Horse Nine Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.5% Bid 91.0% · Ask 94.0% Wild Horse Nine Open Polymarket ↗	—

All of a Sudden

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

64.0%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 64.0%

All of a Sudden

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.8%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 11.3%

All of a Sudden

Oscar nominations for Best Adapted Screenplay?

Kalshi

Polymarket

All of a Sudden

Kalshi

Polymarket

Clarissa

Kalshi

Polymarket

Cry to Heaven

Kalshi

Polymarket

Dune: Part Three

Kalshi

Polymarket

Ink

Kalshi

Polymarket

Project Hail Mary

Kalshi

Polymarket

Saturn Return

Kalshi

Polymarket

The Black Ball

Kalshi

Polymarket

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Kalshi

Polymarket

The Invite

Kalshi

Polymarket

The Odyssey

Kalshi

Polymarket

The Social Reckoning

Kalshi

Polymarket

The Whisper Man

Kalshi

Polymarket

Toy Story 5

Kalshi

Polymarket

Wildwood

Kalshi

Polymarket

A Place in Hell

Kalshi

Polymarket

Behemoth!

Kalshi

Polymarket

Club Kid

Kalshi

Polymarket

Digger

Kalshi

Polymarket

Elsinore

Kalshi

Polymarket

Fatherland

Kalshi

Polymarket

Fjord

Kalshi

Polymarket

Forgotten Island

Kalshi

Polymarket

Josephine

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie A

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie B

Kalshi