Market comparison

Oscar nominations for Best Cinematography?

2 venues · 38 outcome rows · 9 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

46 outcomes · $34K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 14, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $23K reported volume

Observed 41s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Oscar nominations for Best Cinematography?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Digger Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	8.9% Bid 2.1% · Ask 15.7% Digger Open Polymarket ↗ 26.5% Bid 25.0% · Ask 28.0% Digger Open Polymarket ↗	26.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 31.0% Digger Open Kalshi ↗	—
Dune: Part Three Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	25.5% Bid 22.0% · Ask 29.0% Dune: Part Three Open Polymarket ↗ 91.5% Bid 91.0% · Ask 92.0% Dune: Part Three Open Polymarket ↗	89.0% Bid 89.0% · Ask 92.0% Dune: Part Three Open Kalshi ↗	—
Josephine Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Josephine Open Polymarket ↗ 13.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 14.0% Josephine Open Polymarket ↗	11.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 13.0% Josephine Open Kalshi ↗	—
Obsession Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Obsession Open Polymarket ↗ 15.5% Bid 14.0% · Ask 17.0% Obsession Open Polymarket ↗	19.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 19.0% Obsession Open Kalshi ↗	—
Project Hail Mary Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	8.0% Bid 4.1% · Ask 11.9% Project Hail Mary Open Polymarket ↗ 61.0% Bid 58.0% · Ask 64.0% Project Hail Mary Open Polymarket ↗	61.0% Bid 57.0% · Ask 61.0% Project Hail Mary Open Kalshi ↗	—
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	15.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0% The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Open Polymarket ↗	17.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 17.0% The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Open Kalshi ↗	2.0 pp
The Odyssey Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	59.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 63.0% The Odyssey Open Polymarket ↗ 93.5% Bid 93.0% · Ask 94.0% The Odyssey Open Polymarket ↗	96.0% Bid 93.0% · Ask 97.0% The Odyssey Open Kalshi ↗	—
The Whisper Man Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% The Whisper Man Open Polymarket ↗	5.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 14.0% The Whisper Man Open Kalshi ↗	4.9 pp
Werwulf Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.4% Bid 1.1% · Ask 11.7% Werwulf Open Polymarket ↗ 55.5% Bid 53.0% · Ask 58.0% Werwulf Open Polymarket ↗	50.0% Bid 49.0% · Ask 58.0% Werwulf Open Kalshi ↗	—
1949 / Fatherland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	45.0% Bid 44.0% · Ask 52.0% 1949 / Fatherland Open Kalshi ↗	—
Fatherland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.2% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3% Fatherland Open Polymarket ↗ 51.5% Bid 51.0% · Ask 52.0% Fatherland Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie A Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie A · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie B · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie C Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie C · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie D Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie D · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie E Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie E · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie F Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie F · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie G Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie G · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie H Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie H · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie I Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie I · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie J Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie J · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie K · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie L Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie L · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie M · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie N Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie N · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie O Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie O · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie P Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie P · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie Q Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Q · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie R Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie R · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie S Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie S · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie T Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie T · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie U Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie U · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie V Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie V · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie W Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie W · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie X Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie X · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie Y Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Y · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie Z Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Z · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
The Adventures of Cliff Booth Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.6% The Adventures of Cliff Booth Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Digger

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

8.9%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 15.7%

Digger

Oscar nominations for Best Cinematography?

Polymarket

Kalshi

Digger

Polymarket

Kalshi

Dune: Part Three

Polymarket

Kalshi

Josephine

Polymarket

Kalshi

Obsession

Polymarket

Kalshi

Project Hail Mary

Polymarket

Kalshi

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Polymarket

Kalshi

The Odyssey

Polymarket

Kalshi

The Whisper Man

Polymarket

Kalshi

Werwulf

Polymarket

Kalshi

1949 / Fatherland

Polymarket

Kalshi

Fatherland

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie A

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie B

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie C

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie D

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie E

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie F

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie G

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie H

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie I

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie J

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie K

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie L

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie M

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie N

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie O

Polymarket