The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Oscar nominations for Best International Feature Film?

2 venues · 51 outcome rows · 14 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

15 outcomes · $67K reported volume

Observed 18s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

60 outcomes · $87K reported volume

Observed 18s ago

Observed 18s ago

Observed 18s ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 14, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

All of a Sudden

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

96.0%

Bid 92.0% · Ask 96.0%

All of a Sudden

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 1.8% · Ask 8.4%

All of a Sudden

Open Polymarket ↗

98.3%

Bid 97.5% · Ask 99.0%

All of a Sudden

Open Polymarket ↗

Bitter Christmas

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 11.0%

Bitter Christmas

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Bitter Christmas

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 4.9 pp

Coward

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 21.0%

Coward

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Coward

Open Polymarket ↗

16.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0%

Coward

Open Polymarket ↗

Fjord

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 86.0%

Fjord

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 6.7%

Fjord

Open Polymarket ↗

86.5%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 89.0%

Fjord

Open Polymarket ↗

Hope

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0%

Hope

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Hope

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 5.8 pp

Minotaur

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

53.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 53.0%

Minotaur

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

8.3%

Bid 1.8% · Ask 14.8%

Minotaur

Open Polymarket ↗

52.5%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 59.0%

Minotaur

Open Polymarket ↗

Parallel Tales

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.0%

Parallel Tales

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4%

Parallel Tales

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.8 pp

Possible Love

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

76.0%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 80.0%

Possible Love

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.9%

Bid 3.2% · Ask 6.6%

Possible Love

Open Polymarket ↗

81.5%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 82.0%

Possible Love

Open Polymarket ↗

Rose

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 37.0%

Rose

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0%

Rose

Open Polymarket ↗

32.5%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 34.0%

Rose

Open Polymarket ↗

Sheep in the Box

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0%

Sheep in the Box

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3%

Sheep in the Box

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 5.8 pp

The Beloved

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 11.0%

The Beloved

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

The Beloved

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 4.9 pp

The Black Ball

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 98.0% · Ask 99.0%

The Black Ball

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

79.5%

Bid 79.0% · Ask 80.0%

The Black Ball

Open Polymarket ↗

96.9%

Bid 94.7% · Ask 99.0%

The Black Ball

Open Polymarket ↗

The Dreamed Adventure

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 13.0%

The Dreamed Adventure

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

The Dreamed Adventure

Open Polymarket ↗

8.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 9.0%

The Dreamed Adventure

Open Polymarket ↗

The Man I Love

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

The Man I Love

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

The Man I Love

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.9 pp

1949 / Fatherland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

43.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 49.0%

1949 / Fatherland

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Fatherland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 6.6%

Fatherland

Open Polymarket ↗

45.5%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 48.0%

Fatherland

Open Polymarket ↗

Forgotten Island

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

59.5%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 70.0%

Forgotten Island

Open Polymarket ↗

Hoppers

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

56.0%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 57.0%

Hoppers

Open Polymarket ↗

Iron Boy

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

56.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 85.0%

Iron Boy

Open Polymarket ↗

Minions & Monsters

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 14.0%

Minions & Monsters

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie A

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie A · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie B · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie C

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie C · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie D

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie D · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie E

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie E · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie F

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie F · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie G

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie G · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie H

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie H · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie I

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie I · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie J

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie J · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie K · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie L

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie L · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie M · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie N

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie N · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie O

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie O · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie P

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie P · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie Q

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie Q · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie R

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie R · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie S

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie S · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie T

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie T · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie U

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie U · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie V

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie V · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie W

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie W · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie X

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie X · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie Y

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie Y · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie Z

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie Z · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Ray Gunn

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

67.5%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 71.0%

Ray Gunn

Open Polymarket ↗

Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

35.5%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 36.0%

Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom

Open Polymarket ↗

Tangles

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

36.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 48.0%

Tangles

Open Polymarket ↗

Toy Story 5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

83.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 85.0%

Toy Story 5

Open Polymarket ↗

Wildwood

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

90.0%

Bid 89.0% · Ask 91.0%

Wildwood

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.