Market comparison

Oscar nominations for Best Makeup and Hairstyling?

2 venues · 39 outcome rows · 13 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $35K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

53 outcomes · $42K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jul 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Oscar nominations for Best Makeup and Hairstyling?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Clayface Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	39.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 46.0% Clayface Open Kalshi ↗	7.5% Bid 5.6% · Ask 9.5% Clayface Open Polymarket ↗ 42.5% Bid 41.0% · Ask 44.0% Clayface Open Polymarket ↗	—
Cry to Heaven Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Cry to Heaven Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Cry to Heaven Open Polymarket ↗ 1.8% Bid 1.1% · Ask 2.5% Cry to Heaven Open Polymarket ↗	—
Digger Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	72.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 73.0% Digger Open Kalshi ↗	19.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 20.0% Digger Open Polymarket ↗ 74.0% Bid 59.0% · Ask 89.0% Digger Open Polymarket ↗	—
Dune: Part Three Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	62.0% Bid 58.0% · Ask 64.0% Dune: Part Three Open Kalshi ↗	9.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 11.0% Dune: Part Three Open Polymarket ↗ 60.5% Bid 60.0% · Ask 61.0% Dune: Part Three Open Polymarket ↗	—
I Love Boosters Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	15.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 15.0% I Love Boosters Open Kalshi ↗	8.7% Bid 0.6% · Ask 16.8% I Love Boosters Open Polymarket ↗ 12.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0% I Love Boosters Open Polymarket ↗	—
Madden Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	25.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 26.0% Madden Open Kalshi ↗	3.1% Bid 0.5% · Ask 5.8% Madden Open Polymarket ↗ 14.5% Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0% Madden Open Polymarket ↗	—
Michael Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	31.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 36.0% Michael Open Kalshi ↗	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5% Michael Open Polymarket ↗ 22.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 24.0% Michael Open Polymarket ↗	—
Rose Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	25.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 25.0% Rose Open Kalshi ↗	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4% Rose Open Polymarket ↗ 15.5% Bid 15.0% · Ask 16.0% Rose Open Polymarket ↗	—
The Odyssey Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	77.0% Bid 77.0% · Ask 80.0% The Odyssey Open Kalshi ↗	18.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 20.0% The Odyssey Open Polymarket ↗ 84.0% Bid 83.0% · Ask 85.0% The Odyssey Open Polymarket ↗	—
The Social Reckoning Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	10.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 19.0% The Social Reckoning Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% The Social Reckoning Open Polymarket ↗ 7.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 8.0% The Social Reckoning Open Polymarket ↗	—
UNABOMBER Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% UNABOMBER Open Kalshi ↗	0.7% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.2% UNABOMBER Open Polymarket ↗ 5.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 8.0% UNABOMBER Open Polymarket ↗	—
Werwulf Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	85.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 90.0% Werwulf Open Kalshi ↗	35.4% Bid 35.0% · Ask 35.8% Werwulf Open Polymarket ↗ 89.5% Bid 88.0% · Ask 91.0% Werwulf Open Polymarket ↗	—
Wicker Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	62.0% Bid 62.0% · Ask 70.0% Wicker Open Kalshi ↗	9.8% Bid 2.5% · Ask 17.2% Wicker Open Polymarket ↗ 62.5% Bid 61.0% · Ask 64.0% Wicker Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie A Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie A · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie B · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie C Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie C · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie D Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie D · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie E Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie E · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie F Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie F · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie G Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie G · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie H Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie H · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie I Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie I · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie J Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie J · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie K · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie L Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie L · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie M · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie N Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie N · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie O Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie O · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie P Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie P · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie Q Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Q · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie R Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie R · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie S Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie S · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie T Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie T · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie U Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie U · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie V Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie V · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie W Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie W · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie X Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie X · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie Y Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Y · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie Z Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Z · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—

Clayface

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

39.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 46.0%

Clayface

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 5.6% · Ask 9.5%

Clayface

Oscar nominations for Best Makeup and Hairstyling?

Kalshi

Polymarket

Clayface

Kalshi

Polymarket

Cry to Heaven

Kalshi

Polymarket

Digger

Kalshi

Polymarket

Dune: Part Three

Kalshi

Polymarket

I Love Boosters

Kalshi

Polymarket

Madden

Kalshi

Polymarket

Michael

Kalshi

Polymarket

Rose

Kalshi

Polymarket

The Odyssey

Kalshi

Polymarket

The Social Reckoning

Kalshi

Polymarket

UNABOMBER

Kalshi

Polymarket

Werwulf

Kalshi

Polymarket

Wicker

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie A

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie B

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie C

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie D

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie E

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie F

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie G

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie H

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie I

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie J

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie K

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie L

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie M

Kalshi