Market comparison

Oscar nominations for Best Music (Original Score)?

2 venues · 53 outcome rows · 13 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $53K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

70 outcomes · $100K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Observed 48s ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 14, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Oscar nominations for Best Music (Original Score)?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Behemoth! Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	36.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 41.0% Behemoth! Open Kalshi ↗	30.5% Bid 30.0% · Ask 31.0% Behemoth! Open Polymarket ↗ 19.5% Bid 18.0% · Ask 21.0% Behemoth! Open Polymarket ↗	—
Cry to Heaven Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 11.0% Cry to Heaven Open Kalshi ↗	0.2% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3% Cry to Heaven Open Polymarket ↗	4.8 pp
Disclosure Day Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	61.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 66.0% Disclosure Day Open Kalshi ↗	4.1% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.2% Disclosure Day Open Polymarket ↗ 72.5% Bid 63.0% · Ask 82.0% Disclosure Day Open Polymarket ↗	—
Dune: Part Three Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	64.0% Bid 64.0% · Ask 71.0% Dune: Part Three Open Kalshi ↗	18.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0% Dune: Part Three Open Polymarket ↗ 68.0% Bid 66.0% · Ask 70.0% Dune: Part Three Open Polymarket ↗	—
Project Hail Mary Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	56.0% Bid 53.0% · Ask 62.0% Project Hail Mary Open Kalshi ↗	5.6% Bid 1.3% · Ask 9.9% Project Hail Mary Open Polymarket ↗ 55.0% Bid 52.0% · Ask 58.0% Project Hail Mary Open Polymarket ↗	—
The Black Ball Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	73.0% Bid 67.0% · Ask 74.0% The Black Ball Open Kalshi ↗	7.0% Bid 5.8% · Ask 8.1% The Black Ball Open Polymarket ↗ 75.5% Bid 64.0% · Ask 87.0% The Black Ball Open Polymarket ↗ 2.1% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.2% The Black Ball Open Polymarket ↗	—
The Drama Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 10.0% The Drama Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% The Drama Open Polymarket ↗ 5.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 7.9% The Drama Open Polymarket ↗ 17.5% Bid 16.0% · Ask 19.0% The Drama Open Polymarket ↗	—
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	13.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 17.0% The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Open Kalshi ↗	14.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 15.0% The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Open Polymarket ↗ 2.9% Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.7% The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Open Polymarket ↗	—
The Mandalorian and Grogu Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% The Mandalorian and Grogu Open Kalshi ↗	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.8% The Mandalorian and Grogu Open Polymarket ↗ 2.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% The Mandalorian and Grogu Open Polymarket ↗	—
The Odyssey Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	94.0% Bid 90.0% · Ask 94.0% The Odyssey Open Kalshi ↗	65.0% Bid 64.0% · Ask 66.0% The Odyssey Open Polymarket ↗ 88.0% Bid 87.0% · Ask 89.0% The Odyssey Open Polymarket ↗ 4.0% Bid 0.3% · Ask 7.6% The Odyssey Open Polymarket ↗	—
The Social Reckoning Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	7.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 9.0% The Social Reckoning Open Kalshi ↗	0.2% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3% The Social Reckoning Open Polymarket ↗ 6.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0% The Social Reckoning Open Polymarket ↗	—
Whalefall Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	16.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 17.0% Whalefall Open Kalshi ↗	5.2% Bid 0.9% · Ask 9.5% Whalefall Open Polymarket ↗ 7.9% Bid 6.9% · Ask 8.9% Whalefall Open Polymarket ↗	—
Wild Horse Nine Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	34.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 34.0% Wild Horse Nine Open Kalshi ↗	5.2% Bid 0.8% · Ask 9.6% Wild Horse Nine Open Polymarket ↗ 28.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 29.0% Wild Horse Nine Open Polymarket ↗ 92.5% Bid 91.0% · Ask 94.0% Wild Horse Nine Open Polymarket ↗	—
A Place in Hell Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.6% Bid 0.3% · Ask 6.9% A Place in Hell Open Polymarket ↗	—
Club Kid Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	62.0% Bid 58.0% · Ask 66.0% Club Kid Open Polymarket ↗	—
Digger Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 16.0% Digger Open Polymarket ↗	—
Elsinore Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 28.0% Elsinore Open Polymarket ↗	—
Fatherland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.4% Bid 1.2% · Ask 13.6% Fatherland Open Polymarket ↗	—
Fjord Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	46.0% Bid 44.0% · Ask 48.0% Fjord Open Polymarket ↗	—
Forgotten Island Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.6% Bid 1.5% · Ask 5.7% Forgotten Island Open Polymarket ↗	—
Josephine Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.5% Bid 8.0% · Ask 11.0% Josephine Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie A Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie A · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie B · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie C Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie C · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie D Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie D · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie E Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie E · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie F Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie F · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie G Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie G · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie H Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie H · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie I Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie I · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie J Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie J · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie K · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie L Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie L · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie M · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie N Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie N · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie O Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie O · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie P Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie P · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie Q Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Q · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie R Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie R · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie S Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie S · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie T Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie T · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie U Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie U · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie V Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie V · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie W Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie W · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie X Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie X · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie Y Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Y · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Movie Z Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Z · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Obsession Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	52.0% Bid 47.0% · Ask 57.0% Obsession Open Polymarket ↗	—
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 17.0% Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma Open Polymarket ↗	—
The Adventures of Cliff Booth Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.6% Bid 0.6% · Ask 4.7% The Adventures of Cliff Booth Open Polymarket ↗	—
The Debut Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	85.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 89.0% The Debut Open Polymarket ↗	—
The Invite Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.9% Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.7% The Invite Open Polymarket ↗	—
You Can See Everything Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 88.0% You Can See Everything Open Polymarket ↗	—

Behemoth!

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

36.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 41.0%

Behemoth!

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

30.5%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 31.0%

Behemoth!

Oscar nominations for Best Music (Original Score)?

Kalshi

Polymarket

Behemoth!

Kalshi

Polymarket

Cry to Heaven

Kalshi

Polymarket

Disclosure Day

Kalshi

Polymarket

Dune: Part Three

Kalshi

Polymarket

Project Hail Mary

Kalshi

Polymarket

The Black Ball

Kalshi

Polymarket

The Drama

Kalshi

Polymarket

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Kalshi

Polymarket

The Mandalorian and Grogu

Kalshi

Polymarket

The Odyssey

Kalshi

Polymarket

The Social Reckoning

Kalshi

Polymarket

Whalefall

Kalshi

Polymarket

Wild Horse Nine

Kalshi

Polymarket

A Place in Hell

Kalshi

Polymarket

Club Kid

Kalshi

Polymarket

Digger

Kalshi

Polymarket

Elsinore

Kalshi

Polymarket

Fatherland

Kalshi

Polymarket

Fjord

Kalshi

Polymarket

Forgotten Island

Kalshi

Polymarket

Josephine

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie A

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie B

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie C

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie D

Kalshi

Polymarket

Movie E

Kalshi