The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Oscar nominations for Best Supporting Actress?

2 venues · 78 outcome rows · 18 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

19 outcomes · $117K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

100 outcomes · $117K reported volume

Observed 51s ago

Observed 51s ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 14, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Amanda Seyfried

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

60.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 62.0%

Amanda Seyfried

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

30.6%

Bid 27.8% · Ask 33.4%

Amanda Seyfried

Open Polymarket ↗

58.5%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 59.0%

Amanda Seyfried

Open Polymarket ↗

Anne Hathaway

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

90.0%

Bid 88.0% · Ask 90.0%

Anne Hathaway

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

53.0%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 54.0%

Anne Hathaway

Open Polymarket ↗

88.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 89.0%

Anne Hathaway

Open Polymarket ↗

4.4%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.8%

Anne Hathaway

Open Polymarket ↗

Betty Gilpin

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 9.0%

Betty Gilpin

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5%

Betty Gilpin

Open Polymarket ↗

4.6%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 8.1%

Betty Gilpin

Open Polymarket ↗

Danielle Deadwyler

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 9.0%

Danielle Deadwyler

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.9%

Danielle Deadwyler

Open Polymarket ↗

17.6%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 33.9%

Danielle Deadwyler

Open Polymarket ↗

Gemma Chan

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 9.0%

Gemma Chan

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4%

Gemma Chan

Open Polymarket ↗

9.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 10.0%

Gemma Chan

Open Polymarket ↗

Inde Navarrette

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

Inde Navarrette

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.8%

Inde Navarrette

Open Polymarket ↗

1.1%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.2%

Inde Navarrette

Open Polymarket ↗

78.0%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 79.0%

Inde Navarrette

Open Polymarket ↗

Isabella Rossellini

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 8.0%

Isabella Rossellini

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0%

Isabella Rossellini

Open Polymarket ↗

5.4%

Bid 3.9% · Ask 6.9%

Isabella Rossellini

Open Polymarket ↗

Kate O'Flynn

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

38.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 39.0%

Kate O'Flynn

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 9.9%

Kate O'Flynn

Open Polymarket ↗

38.5%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 52.0%

Kate O'Flynn

Open Polymarket ↗

Margaret Qualley

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 9.0%

Margaret Qualley

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.9%

Margaret Qualley

Open Polymarket ↗

3.5%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 6.5%

Margaret Qualley

Open Polymarket ↗

Mariana di Girolamo

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

34.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 37.0%

Mariana di Girolamo

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.9%

Mariana di Girolamo

Open Polymarket ↗

27.5%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 29.0%

Mariana di Girolamo

Open Polymarket ↗

Merritt Wever

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 27.0%

Merritt Wever

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

12.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 13.0%

Merritt Wever

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 12.0 pp

Olivia Colman

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

41.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 42.0%

Olivia Colman

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9%

Olivia Colman

Open Polymarket ↗

37.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 39.0%

Olivia Colman

Open Polymarket ↗

Parker Posey

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 22.0%

Parker Posey

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.6%

Parker Posey

Open Polymarket ↗

21.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 23.0%

Parker Posey

Open Polymarket ↗

Penélope Cruz

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

74.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 74.0%

Penélope Cruz

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

9.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 11.0%

Penélope Cruz

Open Polymarket ↗

76.5%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 77.0%

Penélope Cruz

Open Polymarket ↗

5.1%

Bid 3.1% · Ask 7.0%

Penélope Cruz

Open Polymarket ↗

Samantha Morton

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

75.0%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 76.0%

Samantha Morton

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 8.1%

Samantha Morton

Open Polymarket ↗

75.0%

Bid 74.0% · Ask 76.0%

Samantha Morton

Open Polymarket ↗

Sandra Hüller

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

27.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 27.0%

Sandra Hüller

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.1%

Sandra Hüller

Open Polymarket ↗

24.5%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 25.0%

Sandra Hüller

Open Polymarket ↗

63.5%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 66.0%

Sandra Hüller

Open Polymarket ↗

Tao Okamoto

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

60.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 65.0%

Tao Okamoto

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0%

Tao Okamoto

Open Polymarket ↗

65.5%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 69.0%

Tao Okamoto

Open Polymarket ↗

Zendaya

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0%

Zendaya

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.8%

Zendaya

Open Polymarket ↗

17.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0%

Zendaya

Open Polymarket ↗

4.3%

Bid 3.2% · Ask 5.5%

Zendaya

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress AA

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress AA · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress AB

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress AB · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress AC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress AC · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress AD

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress AD · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress AE

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress AE · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress AF

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress AF · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress AG

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress AG · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress AH

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress AH · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress AI

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress AI · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress AJ

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress AJ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress AK

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress AK · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress AL

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress AL · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress AM

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress AM · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress AN

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress AN · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress AO

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress AO · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress AP

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress AP · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress E

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress E · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress F

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress F · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress G

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress G · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress H

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress H · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress I

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress I · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress J

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress J · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress K · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress L

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress L · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress M · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress N

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress N · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress O

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress O · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress P

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress P · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress Q

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress Q · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress R

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress R · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress S

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress S · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress T

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress T · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress U

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress U · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress V

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress V · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress W

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress W · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress X

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress X · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress Y

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress Y · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Actress Z

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actress Z · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Cynthia Erivo

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0%

Cynthia Erivo

Open Polymarket ↗

Daisy Edgar-Jones

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

8.6%

Bid 6.7% · Ask 10.4%

Daisy Edgar-Jones

Open Polymarket ↗

Dakota Johnson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 2.6% · Ask 7.4%

Dakota Johnson

Open Polymarket ↗

Emily Blunt

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

6.9%

Bid 5.1% · Ask 8.6%

Emily Blunt

Open Polymarket ↗

Joan Collins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.6%

Joan Collins

Open Polymarket ↗

Julianne Moore

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

94.5%

Bid 94.0% · Ask 95.0%

Julianne Moore

Open Polymarket ↗

Kirsten Dunst

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.2%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.2%

Kirsten Dunst

Open Polymarket ↗

Laura Linney

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

6.7%

Bid 4.6% · Ask 8.7%

Laura Linney

Open Polymarket ↗

Lily Gladstone

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.4%

Lily Gladstone

Open Polymarket ↗

Marion Bailey

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 12.0%

Marion Bailey

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Michelle Monaghan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.8%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 8.4%

Michelle Monaghan

Open Polymarket ↗

Michelle Williams

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 6.4% · Ask 8.7%

Michelle Williams

Open Polymarket ↗

Mikey Madison

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 10.0%

Mikey Madison

Open Polymarket ↗

Natalie Portman

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.9%

Bid 5.3% · Ask 6.5%

Natalie Portman

Open Polymarket ↗

Olivia Wilde

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

68.0%

Bid 65.0% · Ask 71.0%

Olivia Wilde

Open Polymarket ↗

Renate Reinsve

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

47.5%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 48.0%

Renate Reinsve

Open Polymarket ↗

Rosalind Eleazar

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0%

Rosalind Eleazar

Open Polymarket ↗

Ruth Madeley

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

44.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 46.0%

Ruth Madeley

Open Polymarket ↗

Scarlett Johansson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.5%

Scarlett Johansson

Open Polymarket ↗

Shailene Woodley

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 5.5%

Shailene Woodley

Open Polymarket ↗

Sophie Okonedo

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

6.1%

Bid 4.6% · Ask 7.6%

Sophie Okonedo

Open Polymarket ↗

Virginie Efira

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

41.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 43.0%

Virginie Efira

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.