The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Oscar nominations for Best Visual Effects?

2 venues · 33 outcome rows · 6 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

7 outcomes · $24K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

39 outcomes · $26K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jul 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Avengers: Doomsday

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

46.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 46.0%

Avengers: Doomsday

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 4.1%

Avengers: Doomsday

Open Polymarket ↗

41.5%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 42.0%

Avengers: Doomsday

Open Polymarket ↗

Dune: Part Three

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

88.0%

Bid 88.0% · Ask 95.0%

Dune: Part Three

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

52.5%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 53.0%

Dune: Part Three

Open Polymarket ↗

95.4%

Bid 94.0% · Ask 96.8%

Dune: Part Three

Open Polymarket ↗

Godzilla Minus Zero

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

84.0%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 90.0%

Godzilla Minus Zero

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 7.3%

Godzilla Minus Zero

Open Polymarket ↗

90.8%

Bid 90.1% · Ask 91.6%

Godzilla Minus Zero

Open Polymarket ↗

Project Hail Mary

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

87.0%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 87.0%

Project Hail Mary

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

25.5%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 26.0%

Project Hail Mary

Open Polymarket ↗

84.0%

Bid 83.0% · Ask 85.0%

Project Hail Mary

Open Polymarket ↗

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

39.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 40.0%

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3%

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

Open Polymarket ↗

38.5%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 39.0%

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

Open Polymarket ↗

The Odyssey

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 79.0% · Ask 86.0%

The Odyssey

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

17.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0%

The Odyssey

Open Polymarket ↗

83.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 84.0%

The Odyssey

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie A

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie A · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie B · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie C

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie C · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie D

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie D · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie E

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie E · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie F

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie F · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie G

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie G · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie H

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie H · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie I

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie I · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie J

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie J · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie K · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie L

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie L · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie M · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie N

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie N · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie O

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie O · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie P

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie P · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie Q

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie Q · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie R

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie R · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie S

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie S · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie T

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie T · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie U

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie U · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie V

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie V · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie W

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie W · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie X

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie X · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie Y

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie Y · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie Z

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie Z · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Narnia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.0%

Narnia

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.