Market comparison
Oscar nominees: Best Documentary Feature Film
2 venues · 10 outcome rows · 10 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Kalshi
Open venue ↗10 outcomes · $76K reported volume
Observed 20s ago
Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027
Polymarket
Open venue ↗10 outcomes · $28K reported volume
Observed 20s ago
Recorded venue end date: Mar 15, 2027
Known rule differences between venues
- Both settle on the official ceremony result or nominations announcement for the same edition.
- Kalshi lists a 'Tie' outcome and resolves ties per its rules; Polymarket resolves ties per its own description. Nominee lists differ; only names on both venues are linked.
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
14th Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 2.0 pp | ||
American Doctor Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 3.0 pp | ||
Musk Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 7.0 pp | ||
NAZA Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.5 pp | ||
Nuisance Bear Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 2.0 pp | ||
Once Upon a Time in Harlem Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 12.0 pp | ||
One in a Million Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 3.5 pp | ||
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 9.0 pp | ||
Tutu Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 6.5 pp | ||
You Can See Everything Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 5.0 pp |
14th
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 2.0 pp
American Doctor
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 3.0 pp
Musk
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 7.0 pp
NAZA
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.5 pp
Nuisance Bear
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 2.0 pp
Once Upon a Time in Harlem
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 12.0 pp
One in a Million
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 3.5 pp
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 9.0 pp
Tutu
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 6.5 pp
You Can See Everything
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 5.0 pp
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.