Market comparison
Oscar nominees: Best Original Screenplay
2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 18 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Kalshi
Open venue ↗18 outcomes · $86K reported volume
Observed 1m ago
Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027
Polymarket
Open venue ↗18 outcomes · $31K reported volume
Observed 43s ago
Recorded venue end date: Mar 15, 2027
Known rule differences between venues
- Both settle on the official ceremony result or nominations announcement for the same edition.
- Kalshi lists a 'Tie' outcome and resolves ties per its rules; Polymarket resolves ties per its own description. Nominee lists differ; only names on both venues are linked.
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
A Place in Hell Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 3.9 pp | ||
Behemoth! Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.5 pp | ||
Club Kid Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 2.5 pp | ||
Digger Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 6.0 pp | ||
Elsinore Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 7.5 pp | ||
Fatherland Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.8 pp | ||
Fjord Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 2.0 pp | ||
Forgotten Island Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.8 pp | ||
Josephine Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.0 pp | ||
Obsession Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 4.0 pp | ||
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.5 pp | ||
The Black Ball Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 7.9 pp | ||
The Debut Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 4.5 pp | ||
The Drama Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 7.5 pp | ||
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.9 pp | ||
The Invite Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 2.9 pp | ||
The Odyssey Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.1 pp | ||
Wild Horse Nine Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.5 pp |
A Place in Hell
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 3.9 pp
Behemoth!
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.5 pp
Club Kid
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 2.5 pp
Digger
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 6.0 pp
Elsinore
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 7.5 pp
Fatherland
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.8 pp
Fjord
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 2.0 pp
Forgotten Island
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.8 pp
Josephine
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.0 pp
Obsession
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 4.0 pp
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.5 pp
The Black Ball
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 7.9 pp
The Debut
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 4.5 pp
The Drama
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 7.5 pp
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.9 pp
The Invite
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 2.9 pp
The Odyssey
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.1 pp
Wild Horse Nine
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.5 pp
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.