Market comparison

Oscar Winner: Best Cinematography

2 venues · 38 outcome rows · 9 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

37 outcomes · $30K reported volume

Observed 38s ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 14, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $11K reported volume

Observed 38s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Both settle on the official ceremony result or nominations announcement for the same edition.
Kalshi lists a 'Tie' outcome and resolves ties per its rules; Polymarket resolves ties per its own description. Nominee lists differ; only names on both venues are linked.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Oscar Winner: Best Cinematography
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Digger Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	9.3% Bid 2.1% · Ask 16.6% Digger Open Polymarket ↗	6.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.0% Digger Open Kalshi ↗	3.4 pp
Dune: Part Three Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	25.5% Bid 22.0% · Ask 29.0% Dune: Part Three Open Polymarket ↗	19.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 23.0% Dune: Part Three Open Kalshi ↗	6.5 pp
Fatherland Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.2% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3% Fatherland Open Polymarket ↗	2.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Fatherland Open Kalshi ↗	2.3 pp
Josephine Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Josephine Open Polymarket ↗	2.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Josephine Open Kalshi ↗	2.4 pp
Obsession Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Obsession Open Polymarket ↗	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Obsession Open Kalshi ↗	4.9 pp
Project Hail Mary Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	13.3% Bid 4.1% · Ask 22.4% Project Hail Mary Open Polymarket ↗	6.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.0% Project Hail Mary Open Kalshi ↗	7.3 pp
The Odyssey Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	59.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 63.0% The Odyssey Open Polymarket ↗	65.0% Bid 65.0% · Ask 68.0% The Odyssey Open Kalshi ↗	6.0 pp
The Whisper Man Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% The Whisper Man Open Polymarket ↗	2.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% The Whisper Man Open Kalshi ↗	2.4 pp
Werwulf Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	6.4% Bid 1.2% · Ask 11.6% Werwulf Open Polymarket ↗	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Werwulf Open Kalshi ↗	1.4 pp
Movie A Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie A · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie B · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie C Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie C · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie D Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie D · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie E Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie E · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie F Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie F · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie G Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie G · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie H Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie H · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie I Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie I · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie J Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie J · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie K · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie L Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie L · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie M · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie N Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie N · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie O Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie O · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie P Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie P · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie Q Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Q · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie R Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie R · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie S Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie S · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie T Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie T · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie U Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie U · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie V Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie V · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie W Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie W · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie X Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie X · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie Y Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Y · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie Z Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Z · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
The Adventures of Cliff Booth Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.6% The Adventures of Cliff Booth Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tie Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Tie Open Kalshi ↗	—

Digger

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

9.3%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 16.6%

Digger

Oscar Winner: Best Cinematography

Polymarket

Kalshi

Known rule differences between venues

Digger

Polymarket

Kalshi

Dune: Part Three

Polymarket

Kalshi

Fatherland

Polymarket

Kalshi

Josephine

Polymarket

Kalshi

Obsession

Polymarket

Kalshi

Project Hail Mary

Polymarket

Kalshi

The Odyssey

Polymarket

Kalshi

The Whisper Man

Polymarket

Kalshi

Werwulf

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie A

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie B

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie C

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie D

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie E

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie F

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie G

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie H

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie I

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie J

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie K

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie L

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie M

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie N

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie O

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie P

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie Q