Market comparison
Oscar Winner: Best International Feature Film
2 venues · 46 outcome rows · 6 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗42 outcomes · $52K reported volume
Observed 48s ago
Recorded venue end date: Mar 14, 2027
Kalshi
Open venue ↗11 outcomes · $10K reported volume
Observed 48s ago
Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027
Known rule differences between venues
- Both settle on the official ceremony result or nominations announcement for the same edition.
- Kalshi lists a 'Tie' outcome and resolves ties per its rules; Polymarket resolves ties per its own description. Nominee lists differ; only names on both venues are linked.
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
All of a Sudden Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.9 pp | ||
Coward Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.9 pp | ||
Fatherland Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 1.6 pp | ||
Fjord Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 9.9 pp | ||
Minotaur Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.3 pp | ||
Possible Love Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above. | 0.1 pp | ||
Bitter Christmas Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Everytime Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Feito Pipa Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Hope Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
La Bola Negra Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie A Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie B Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie C Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie D Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie E Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie F Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie G Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie H Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie I Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie J Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie K Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie L Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie M Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie N Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie O Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie P Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie Q Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie R Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie S Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie T Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie U Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie V Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie W Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie X Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie Y Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Movie Z Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Parallel Tales Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Rose Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Sheep in the Box Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
The Beloved Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
The Black Ball Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
The Dreamed Adventure Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
The Man I Love Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
The Spiral Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Tie Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
All of a Sudden
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.9 pp
Coward
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.9 pp
Fatherland
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.6 pp
Fjord
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 9.9 pp
Minotaur
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.3 pp
Possible Love
Partial parityPayoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.1 pp
Bitter Christmas
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Everytime
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Feito Pipa
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Hope
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
La Bola Negra
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Movie A
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie B
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie C
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie D
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie E
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie F
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie G
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie H
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie I
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie J
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie K
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie L
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie M
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie N
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie O
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie P
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie Q
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie R
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie S
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie T
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie U
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie V
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie W
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie X
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie Y
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Movie Z
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Parallel Tales
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Rose
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Sheep in the Box
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
The Beloved
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
The Black Ball
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
The Dreamed Adventure
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
The Man I Love
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
The Spiral
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Tie
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.