Market comparison

Oscar Winner: Best Makeup and Hairstyling

2 venues · 40 outcome rows · 13 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

40 outcomes · $28K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jul 1, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

14 outcomes · $24K reported volume

Observed 8s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Both settle on the official ceremony result or nominations announcement for the same edition.
Kalshi lists a 'Tie' outcome and resolves ties per its rules; Polymarket resolves ties per its own description. Nominee lists differ; only names on both venues are linked.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Oscar Winner: Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Clayface Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	7.5% Bid 5.6% · Ask 9.5% Clayface Open Polymarket ↗	11.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 11.0% Clayface Open Kalshi ↗	3.5 pp
Cry to Heaven Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Cry to Heaven Open Polymarket ↗	1.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% Cry to Heaven Open Kalshi ↗	1.4 pp
Digger Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	19.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 20.0% Digger Open Polymarket ↗	16.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 17.0% Digger Open Kalshi ↗	3.0 pp
Dune: Part Three Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	9.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 11.0% Dune: Part Three Open Polymarket ↗	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Dune: Part Three Open Kalshi ↗	5.0 pp
I Love Boosters Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	8.7% Bid 0.6% · Ask 16.8% I Love Boosters Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% I Love Boosters Open Kalshi ↗	7.7 pp
Madden Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	3.1% Bid 0.5% · Ask 5.8% Madden Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% Madden Open Kalshi ↗	2.1 pp
Michael Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5% Michael Open Polymarket ↗	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% Michael Open Kalshi ↗	2.7 pp
Rose Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4% Rose Open Polymarket ↗	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% Rose Open Kalshi ↗	2.8 pp
The Odyssey Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	18.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 20.0% The Odyssey Open Polymarket ↗	18.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 19.0% The Odyssey Open Kalshi ↗	0.0 pp
The Social Reckoning Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% The Social Reckoning Open Polymarket ↗	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% The Social Reckoning Open Kalshi ↗	2.8 pp
UNABOMBER Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.7% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.2% UNABOMBER Open Polymarket ↗	1.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0% UNABOMBER Open Kalshi ↗	0.9 pp
Werwulf Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	35.4% Bid 35.0% · Ask 35.8% Werwulf Open Polymarket ↗	37.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 39.0% Werwulf Open Kalshi ↗	1.6 pp
Wicker Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	3.6% Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.3% Wicker Open Polymarket ↗	9.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 12.0% Wicker Open Kalshi ↗	5.4 pp
Movie A Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie A · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie B · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie C Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie C · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie D Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie D · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie E Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie E · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie F Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie F · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie G Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie G · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie H Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie H · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie I Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie I · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie J Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie J · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie K · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie L Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie L · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie M · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie N Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie N · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie O Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie O · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie P Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie P · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie Q Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Q · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie R Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie R · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie S Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie S · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie T Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie T · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie U Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie U · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie V Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie V · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie W Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie W · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie X Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie X · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie Y Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Y · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie Z Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Z · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Tie Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Tie Open Kalshi ↗	—

Clayface

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 5.6% · Ask 9.5%

Clayface

Oscar Winner: Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Polymarket

Kalshi

Known rule differences between venues

Clayface

Polymarket

Kalshi

Cry to Heaven

Polymarket

Kalshi

Digger

Polymarket

Kalshi

Dune: Part Three

Polymarket

Kalshi

I Love Boosters

Polymarket

Kalshi

Madden

Polymarket

Kalshi

Michael

Polymarket

Kalshi

Rose

Polymarket

Kalshi

The Odyssey

Polymarket

Kalshi

The Social Reckoning

Polymarket

Kalshi

UNABOMBER

Polymarket

Kalshi

Werwulf

Polymarket

Kalshi

Wicker

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie A

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie B

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie C

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie D

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie E

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie F

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie G

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie H

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie I

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie J

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie K

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie L

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie M