Market comparison

Oscar winner: Best Supporting Actor

2 venues · 65 outcome rows · 25 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

27 outcomes · $195K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

64 outcomes · $56K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 14, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Both settle on the official ceremony result or nominations announcement for the same edition.
Kalshi lists a 'Tie' outcome and resolves ties per its rules; Polymarket resolves ties per its own description. Nominee lists differ; only names on both venues are linked.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Oscar winner: Best Supporting Actor
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Adam Scott Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Adam Scott Open Kalshi ↗	0.9% Bid 0.7% · Ask 1.1% Adam Scott Open Polymarket ↗	0.1 pp
Andrew Garfield Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	27.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 27.0% Andrew Garfield Open Kalshi ↗	33.5% Bid 27.0% · Ask 40.0% Andrew Garfield Open Polymarket ↗	6.5 pp
Channing Tatum Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Channing Tatum Open Kalshi ↗	1.5% Bid 0.7% · Ask 2.2% Channing Tatum Open Polymarket ↗	0.5 pp
Charles Melton Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Charles Melton Open Kalshi ↗	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.4% Charles Melton Open Polymarket ↗	0.7 pp
Colman Domingo Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Colman Domingo Open Kalshi ↗	0.9% Bid 0.7% · Ask 1.0% Colman Domingo Open Polymarket ↗	0.1 pp
Daniel Craig Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Daniel Craig Open Kalshi ↗	0.9% Bid 0.7% · Ask 1.2% Daniel Craig Open Polymarket ↗	0.1 pp
Edward Norton Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Edward Norton Open Kalshi ↗	1.9% Bid 1.2% · Ask 2.6% Edward Norton Open Polymarket ↗	0.1 pp
Guitarricadelafuente Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	15.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 15.0% Guitarricadelafuente Open Kalshi ↗	10.5% Bid 10.1% · Ask 10.9% Guitarricadelafuente Open Polymarket ↗	4.5 pp
Guy Pearce Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Guy Pearce Open Kalshi ↗	1.3% Bid 0.7% · Ask 1.8% Guy Pearce Open Polymarket ↗	0.3 pp
Himesh Patel Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Himesh Patel Open Kalshi ↗	0.8% Bid 0.7% · Ask 0.9% Himesh Patel Open Polymarket ↗	0.2 pp
James Ortiz Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% James Ortiz Open Kalshi ↗	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% James Ortiz Open Polymarket ↗	0.4 pp
Jeremy Strong Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Jeremy Strong Open Kalshi ↗	0.5% Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.6% Jeremy Strong Open Polymarket ↗	1.5 pp
Jesse Plemons Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Jesse Plemons Open Kalshi ↗	5.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 11.0% Jesse Plemons Open Polymarket ↗	4.6 pp
John Goodman Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% John Goodman Open Kalshi ↗	1.6% Bid 1.2% · Ask 1.9% John Goodman Open Polymarket ↗	0.5 pp
John Leguizamo Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	10.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.0% John Leguizamo Open Kalshi ↗	4.0% Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.9% John Leguizamo Open Polymarket ↗	6.0 pp
Michael Fassbender Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Michael Fassbender Open Kalshi ↗	1.1% Bid 0.7% · Ask 1.4% Michael Fassbender Open Polymarket ↗	0.1 pp
Miles Teller Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Miles Teller Open Kalshi ↗	1.8% Bid 0.7% · Ask 2.9% Miles Teller Open Polymarket ↗	0.8 pp
Paul Giamatti Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	26.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 29.0% Paul Giamatti Open Kalshi ↗	27.5% Bid 26.0% · Ask 29.0% Paul Giamatti Open Polymarket ↗	1.5 pp
Riz Ahmed Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Riz Ahmed Open Kalshi ↗	1.3% Bid 0.7% · Ask 1.8% Riz Ahmed Open Polymarket ↗	0.8 pp
Robert De Niro Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Robert De Niro Open Kalshi ↗	0.9% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.7% Robert De Niro Open Polymarket ↗	0.1 pp
Robert Pattinson Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	6.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.0% Robert Pattinson Open Kalshi ↗	6.6% Bid 5.6% · Ask 7.5% Robert Pattinson Open Polymarket ↗	0.6 pp
Sam Rockwell Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	7.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0% Sam Rockwell Open Kalshi ↗	6.8% Bid 5.1% · Ask 8.4% Sam Rockwell Open Polymarket ↗	0.3 pp
Skyler Gisondo Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Skyler Gisondo Open Kalshi ↗	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Skyler Gisondo Open Polymarket ↗	0.4 pp
Steve Buscemi Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Steve Buscemi Open Kalshi ↗	1.0% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.7% Steve Buscemi Open Polymarket ↗	0.0 pp
Tom Holland Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Tom Holland Open Kalshi ↗	1.1% Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.1% Tom Holland Open Polymarket ↗	0.1 pp
Actor AA Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor AA · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor AB Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor AB · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor AC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor AC · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor AD Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor AD · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor AE Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor AE · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor AF Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor AF · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor AG Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor AG · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor AH Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor AH · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor AI Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor AI · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor AJ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor AJ · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor AK Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor AK · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor AL Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor AL · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor AM Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor AM · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor AN Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor AN · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor AO Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor AO · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor AP Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor AP · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor F Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor F · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor G Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor G · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor H Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor H · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor I Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor I · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor J Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor J · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor K · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor L Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor L · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor M · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor N Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor N · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor O Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor O · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor P Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor P · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor Q Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor Q · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor R Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor R · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor S Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor S · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor T Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor T · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor U Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor U · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor V Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor V · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor W Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor W · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor X Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor X · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor Y Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor Y · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor Z Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor Z · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jacques Berman Webster II (Travis Scott) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Jacques Berman Webster II (Travis Scott) Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Tie Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Tie Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Travis Scott Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.4% Travis Scott Open Polymarket ↗	—

Adam Scott

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Adam Scott

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 1.1%

Adam Scott

Oscar winner: Best Supporting Actor

Kalshi

Polymarket

Known rule differences between venues

Adam Scott

Kalshi

Polymarket

Andrew Garfield

Kalshi

Polymarket

Channing Tatum

Kalshi

Polymarket

Charles Melton

Kalshi

Polymarket

Colman Domingo

Kalshi

Polymarket

Daniel Craig

Kalshi

Polymarket

Edward Norton

Kalshi

Polymarket

Guitarricadelafuente

Kalshi

Polymarket

Guy Pearce

Kalshi

Polymarket

Himesh Patel

Kalshi

Polymarket

James Ortiz

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jeremy Strong

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jesse Plemons

Kalshi

Polymarket

John Goodman

Kalshi

Polymarket

John Leguizamo

Kalshi

Polymarket

Michael Fassbender

Kalshi

Polymarket

Miles Teller

Kalshi

Polymarket

Paul Giamatti

Kalshi

Polymarket

Riz Ahmed

Kalshi

Polymarket

Robert De Niro

Kalshi

Polymarket

Robert Pattinson

Kalshi

Polymarket

Sam Rockwell

Kalshi

Polymarket

Skyler Gisondo

Kalshi

Polymarket

Steve Buscemi

Kalshi

Polymarket

Tom Holland

Kalshi

Polymarket

Actor AA