Market comparison

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

2 venues · 54 outcome rows · 19 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

78 outcomes · $654K reported volume

Observed 30s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

19 outcomes · $146K reported volume

Observed 30s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 21, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Adam Driver Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Adam Driver Open Kalshi ↗	4.7% Bid 3.2% · Ask 6.2% Adam Driver Open Polymarket ↗	0.7 pp
Andrew Scott Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	84.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 85.0% Andrew Scott Open Kalshi ↗ 85.0% Bid 75.0% · Ask 95.0% Andrew Scott Open Kalshi ↗	85.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 86.0% Andrew Scott Open Polymarket ↗	—
Anthony Ippolito Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	38.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 40.0% Anthony Ippolito Open Kalshi ↗ 50.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 50.0% Anthony Ippolito Open Kalshi ↗	33.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 35.0% Anthony Ippolito Open Polymarket ↗	—
Brad Pitt Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Brad Pitt Open Kalshi ↗ 20.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0% Brad Pitt Open Kalshi ↗	2.4% Bid 0.8% · Ask 4.0% Brad Pitt Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jaafar Jackson Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	12.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 14.0% Jaafar Jackson Open Kalshi ↗	15.5% Bid 15.0% · Ask 16.0% Jaafar Jackson Open Polymarket ↗	3.5 pp
Javier Bardem Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Javier Bardem Open Kalshi ↗	3.9% Bid 1.2% · Ask 6.6% Javier Bardem Open Polymarket ↗	1.9 pp
Jeremy Strong Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Jeremy Strong Open Kalshi ↗ 3.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 7.0% Jeremy Strong Open Kalshi ↗	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Jeremy Strong Open Polymarket ↗	—
John Malkovich Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	93.0% Bid 88.0% · Ask 93.0% John Malkovich Open Kalshi ↗ 96.0% Bid 91.0% · Ask 96.0% John Malkovich Open Kalshi ↗	87.5% Bid 87.0% · Ask 88.0% John Malkovich Open Polymarket ↗	—
John Turturro Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	43.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 43.0% John Turturro Open Kalshi ↗ 30.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 37.0% John Turturro Open Kalshi ↗	46.5% Bid 39.0% · Ask 55.0% John Turturro Open Polymarket ↗	—
Josh O'Connor Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Josh O'Connor Open Kalshi ↗	4.5% Bid 1.3% · Ask 7.7% Josh O'Connor Open Polymarket ↗	3.5 pp
Matt Damon Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	93.0% Bid 93.0% · Ask 94.0% Matt Damon Open Kalshi ↗ 88.0% Bid 78.0% · Ask 98.0% Matt Damon Open Kalshi ↗	94.2% Bid 92.6% · Ask 95.8% Matt Damon Open Polymarket ↗	—
Pedro Pascal Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	14.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0% Pedro Pascal Open Kalshi ↗ 21.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 30.0% Pedro Pascal Open Kalshi ↗	14.6% Bid 13.3% · Ask 15.9% Pedro Pascal Open Polymarket ↗	—
Robert Aramayo Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	7.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0% Robert Aramayo Open Kalshi ↗	2.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.1% Robert Aramayo Open Polymarket ↗	4.5 pp
Robert Pattinson Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	52.0% Bid 51.0% · Ask 52.0% Robert Pattinson Open Kalshi ↗ 25.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 26.0% Robert Pattinson Open Kalshi ↗ 67.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 67.0% Robert Pattinson Open Kalshi ↗	47.0% Bid 45.0% · Ask 49.0% Robert Pattinson Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ryan Gosling Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	47.0% Bid 44.0% · Ask 47.0% Ryan Gosling Open Kalshi ↗ 79.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 79.0% Ryan Gosling Open Kalshi ↗	43.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 44.0% Ryan Gosling Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sam Rockwell Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.0% Sam Rockwell Open Kalshi ↗ 80.0% Bid 77.0% · Ask 80.0% Sam Rockwell Open Kalshi ↗	7.5% Bid 6.7% · Ask 8.3% Sam Rockwell Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sebastian Stan Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	13.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 17.0% Sebastian Stan Open Kalshi ↗ 25.5% Bid 16.0% · Ask 35.0% Sebastian Stan Open Kalshi ↗	17.5% Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0% Sebastian Stan Open Polymarket ↗	—
Timothée Chalamet Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	15.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0% Timothée Chalamet Open Kalshi ↗	11.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0% Timothée Chalamet Open Polymarket ↗	4.0 pp
Tom Cruise Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	58.0% Bid 58.0% · Ask 60.0% Tom Cruise Open Kalshi ↗ 51.0% Bid 50.0% · Ask 65.0% Tom Cruise Open Kalshi ↗	62.5% Bid 59.0% · Ask 66.0% Tom Cruise Open Polymarket ↗	—
Andrew Garfield Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.0% Andrew Garfield Open Kalshi ↗ 75.0% Bid 75.0% · Ask 80.0% Andrew Garfield Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Andrew Scott Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.0% Adam Scott Open Kalshi ↗ 5.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Adam Scott Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Antonio Banderas Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0% Antonio Banderas Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Channing Tatum Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% Channing Tatum Open Kalshi ↗ 10.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 10.0% Channing Tatum Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Charles Melton Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Charles Melton Open Kalshi ↗ 3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Charles Melton Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Colman Domingo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.0% Colman Domingo Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Daniel Craig Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Daniel Craig Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
DEACTIVED Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.0% DEACTIVED Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Dominic Sessa Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0% Dominic Sessa Open Kalshi ↗ 20.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0% Dominic Sessa Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Edward Norton Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	60.0% Bid 59.0% · Ask 60.0% Edward Norton Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ethan Hawke Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Ethan Hawke Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Guitarricadelafuente Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	71.0% Bid 70.0% · Ask 72.0% Guitarricadelafuente Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Guy Pearce Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Guy Pearce Open Kalshi ↗ 4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Guy Pearce Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hanns Zischler Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% Hanns Zischler Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Himesh Patel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 8.0% Himesh Patel Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jacques Berman Webster II (Travis Scott) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Jacques Berman Webster II (Travis Scott) Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
James Ortiz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 5.0% James Ortiz Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jeremy Allen White Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Jeremy Allen White Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jesse Plemons Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% Jesse Plemons Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
John Goodman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 12.0% John Goodman Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
John Leguizamo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	72.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 73.0% John Leguizamo Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jordan Firstman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0% Jordan Firstman Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Josh O'Connor Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0% Jack O’Connell Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Keanu Reeves Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Keanu Reeves Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Mahershala Ali Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 10.0% Mahershala Ali Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Michael Fassbender Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Michael Fassbender Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Miles Teller Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Miles Teller Open Kalshi ↗ 11.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0% Miles Teller Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Paul Giamatti Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	90.0% Bid 85.0% · Ask 90.0% Paul Giamatti Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Riz Ahmed Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0% Riz Ahmed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Robert DeNiro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Robert DeNiro Open Kalshi ↗ 5.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Robert DeNiro Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Sacha Baron Cohen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Sacha Baron Cohen Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Skyler Gisondo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 8.0% Skyler Gisondo Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Steve Buscemi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0% Steve Buscemi Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Tom Holland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 11.0% Tom Holland Open Kalshi ↗ 4.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.0% Tom Holland Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Yura Borisov Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 24.0% Yura Borisov Open Kalshi ↗ 25.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 25.0% Yura Borisov Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Adam Driver

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Adam Driver

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

Kalshi

Polymarket

Adam Driver

Kalshi

Polymarket

Andrew Scott

Kalshi

Polymarket

Anthony Ippolito

Kalshi

Polymarket

Brad Pitt

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jaafar Jackson

Kalshi

Polymarket

Javier Bardem

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jeremy Strong

Kalshi

Polymarket

John Malkovich

Kalshi

Polymarket

John Turturro

Kalshi

Polymarket

Josh O'Connor

Kalshi

Polymarket

Matt Damon

Kalshi

Polymarket

Pedro Pascal

Kalshi

Polymarket

Robert Aramayo

Kalshi

Polymarket

Robert Pattinson

Kalshi

Polymarket

Ryan Gosling

Kalshi

Polymarket

Sam Rockwell

Kalshi

Polymarket

Sebastian Stan

Kalshi

Polymarket

Timothée Chalamet

Kalshi

Polymarket

Tom Cruise

Kalshi

Polymarket

Andrew Garfield

Kalshi

Polymarket

Andrew Scott

Kalshi

Polymarket

Antonio Banderas

Kalshi

Polymarket

Channing Tatum

Kalshi

Polymarket

Charles Melton

Kalshi

Polymarket

Colman Domingo

Kalshi

Polymarket

Daniel Craig

Kalshi