Market comparison

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner

2 venues · 75 outcome rows · 22 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

87 outcomes · $2.0M reported volume

Observed 33s ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

44 outcomes · $240K reported volume

Observed 33s ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 14, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Adam Driver Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Adam Driver Open Kalshi ↗ 4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Adam Driver Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Adam Driver Open Polymarket ↗	—
Andrew Scott Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	17.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 17.0% Andrew Scott Open Kalshi ↗ 84.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 85.0% Andrew Scott Open Kalshi ↗	17.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0% Andrew Scott Open Polymarket ↗	—
Anthony Ippolito Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Anthony Ippolito Open Kalshi ↗ 38.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 40.0% Anthony Ippolito Open Kalshi ↗	0.4% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.6% Anthony Ippolito Open Polymarket ↗	—
Brad Pitt Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Brad Pitt Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Brad Pitt Open Kalshi ↗	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3% Brad Pitt Open Polymarket ↗	—
Guy Pearce Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Guy Pearce Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Guy Pearce Open Kalshi ↗	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Guy Pearce Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jaafar Jackson Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Jaafar Jackson Open Kalshi ↗ 12.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 14.0% Jaafar Jackson Open Kalshi ↗	0.4% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.6% Jaafar Jackson Open Polymarket ↗	—
Javier Bardem Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Javier Bardem Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Javier Bardem Open Polymarket ↗	1.8 pp
Jeremy Strong Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Jeremy Strong Open Kalshi ↗ 5.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Jeremy Strong Open Kalshi ↗ 2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Jeremy Strong Open Kalshi ↗	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Jeremy Strong Open Polymarket ↗	—
John Malkovich Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	42.0% Bid 41.0% · Ask 42.0% John Malkovich Open Kalshi ↗ 88.0% Bid 88.0% · Ask 93.0% John Malkovich Open Kalshi ↗	44.1% Bid 43.5% · Ask 44.7% John Malkovich Open Polymarket ↗	—
John Turturro Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	43.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 43.0% John Turturro Open Kalshi ↗	1.6% Bid 1.1% · Ask 2.0% John Turturro Open Polymarket ↗	41.4 pp
Josh O'Connor Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Josh O'Connor Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Josh O'Connor Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Josh O'Connor Open Polymarket ↗	—
Mahershala Ali Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	10.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 10.0% Mahershala Ali Open Kalshi ↗	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Mahershala Ali Open Polymarket ↗	9.4 pp
Matt Damon Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	17.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0% Matt Damon Open Kalshi ↗ 93.0% Bid 93.0% · Ask 94.0% Matt Damon Open Kalshi ↗	19.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 20.0% Matt Damon Open Polymarket ↗	—
Pedro Pascal Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Pedro Pascal Open Kalshi ↗ 14.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0% Pedro Pascal Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Pedro Pascal Open Polymarket ↗	—
Robert Aramayo Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	7.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0% Robert Aramayo Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Robert Aramayo Open Polymarket ↗	6.9 pp
Robert Pattinson Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Robert Pattinson Open Kalshi ↗ 52.0% Bid 51.0% · Ask 52.0% Robert Pattinson Open Kalshi ↗ 6.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.0% Robert Pattinson Open Kalshi ↗	3.4% Bid 3.1% · Ask 3.6% Robert Pattinson Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ryan Gosling Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Ryan Gosling Open Kalshi ↗ 46.0% Bid 43.0% · Ask 46.0% Ryan Gosling Open Kalshi ↗	1.3% Bid 1.1% · Ask 1.4% Ryan Gosling Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sam Rockwell Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.0% Sam Rockwell Open Kalshi ↗ 7.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0% Sam Rockwell Open Kalshi ↗	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Sam Rockwell Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sebastian Stan Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Sebastian Stan Open Kalshi ↗ 13.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0% Sebastian Stan Open Kalshi ↗	0.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3% Sebastian Stan Open Polymarket ↗	—
Timothée Chalamet Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.0% Timothée Chalamet Open Kalshi ↗ 15.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0% Timothée Chalamet Open Kalshi ↗	2.3% Bid 1.8% · Ask 2.8% Timothée Chalamet Open Polymarket ↗	—
Tom Cruise Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	15.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0% Tom Cruise Open Kalshi ↗ 55.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 58.0% Tom Cruise Open Kalshi ↗	12.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0% Tom Cruise Open Polymarket ↗	—
Yura Borisov Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Yura Borisov Open Kalshi ↗ 24.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 24.0% Yura Borisov Open Kalshi ↗	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Yura Borisov Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor F Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor F · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor G Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor G · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor H Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor H · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor I Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor I · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor J Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor J · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor K · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor L Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor L · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor M · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor N Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor N · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor O Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor O · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor P Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor P · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor Q Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor Q · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor R Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor R · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor S Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor S · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor T Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor T · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor U Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor U · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor V Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor V · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor W Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor W · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor X Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor X · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor Y Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor Y · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Actor Z Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Actor Z · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Andrew Garfield Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.0% Andrew Garfield Open Kalshi ↗ 27.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 27.0% Andrew Garfield Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Andrew Scott Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.0% Adam Scott Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Adam Scott Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Channing Tatum Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Channing Tatum Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% Channing Tatum Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Channing Tatum Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Charles Melton Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Charles Melton Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Charles Melton Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Charles Melton Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Colman Domingo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Colman Domingo Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Daniel Craig Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Daniel Craig Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
DEACTIVED Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 0.0% DEACTIVED Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Dominic Sessa Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0% Dominic Sessa Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Edward Norton Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Edward Norton Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ethan Hawke Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Ethan Hawke Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Ethan Hawke Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Guitarricadelafuente Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 15.0% Guitarricadelafuente Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hanns Zischler Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Hanns Zischler Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% Hanns Zischler Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Himesh Patel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Himesh Patel Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jacob Tremblay Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Jacob Tremblay Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jacques Berman Webster II (Travis Scott) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Jacques Berman Webster II (Travis Scott) Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
James Ortiz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% James Ortiz Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jeremy Allen White Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Jeremy Allen White Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jesse Plemons Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Jesse Plemons Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
John Goodman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% John Goodman Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
John Leguizamo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.0% John Leguizamo Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Keanu Reeves Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Keanu Reeves Open Kalshi ↗ 5.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Keanu Reeves Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Michael Fassbender Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Michael Fassbender Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Miles Teller Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Miles Teller Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Paul Giamatti Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 29.0% Paul Giamatti Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Riz Ahmed Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Riz Ahmed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Robert De Niro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Robert De Niro Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Robert DeNiro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Robert DeNiro Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Sacha Baron Cohen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Sacha Baron Cohen Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Sacha Baron Cohen Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Skyler Gisondo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Skyler Gisondo Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Steve Buscemi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Steve Buscemi Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Tie Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Tie Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Tie Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Tom Holland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Tom Holland Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 11.0% Tom Holland Open Kalshi ↗ 1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Tom Holland Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Adam Driver

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Adam Driver

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner

Kalshi

Polymarket

Adam Driver

Kalshi

Polymarket

Andrew Scott

Kalshi

Polymarket

Anthony Ippolito

Kalshi

Polymarket

Brad Pitt

Kalshi

Polymarket

Guy Pearce

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jaafar Jackson

Kalshi

Polymarket

Javier Bardem

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jeremy Strong

Kalshi

Polymarket

John Malkovich

Kalshi

Polymarket

John Turturro

Kalshi

Polymarket

Josh O'Connor

Kalshi

Polymarket

Mahershala Ali

Kalshi

Polymarket

Matt Damon

Kalshi

Polymarket

Pedro Pascal

Kalshi

Polymarket

Robert Aramayo

Kalshi

Polymarket

Robert Pattinson

Kalshi

Polymarket

Ryan Gosling

Kalshi

Polymarket

Sam Rockwell

Kalshi

Polymarket

Sebastian Stan

Kalshi

Polymarket

Timothée Chalamet

Kalshi

Polymarket

Tom Cruise

Kalshi

Polymarket

Yura Borisov

Kalshi

Polymarket

Actor F

Kalshi

Polymarket

Actor G

Kalshi

Polymarket

Actor H

Kalshi

Polymarket

Actor I

Kalshi