Market comparison

Oscars 2027: Best Actress Nominations

2 venues · 44 outcome rows · 26 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

60 outcomes · $448K reported volume

Observed 16s ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

26 outcomes · $35K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 15, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Oscars 2027: Best Actress Nominations
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Anne Hathaway Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	8.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0% Anne Hathaway Open Kalshi ↗ 90.0% Bid 88.0% · Ask 90.0% Anne Hathaway Open Kalshi ↗	4.1% Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.2% Anne Hathaway Open Polymarket ↗	—
Cynthia Erivo Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 8.0% Cynthia Erivo Open Kalshi ↗	6.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0% Cynthia Erivo Open Polymarket ↗	0.0 pp
Daisy Edgar-Jones Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	9.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0% Daisy Edgar-Jones Open Kalshi ↗	4.8% Bid 3.2% · Ask 6.3% Daisy Edgar-Jones Open Polymarket ↗	4.3 pp
Dakota Johnson Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 7.0% Dakota Johnson Open Kalshi ↗	4.8% Bid 2.6% · Ask 7.0% Dakota Johnson Open Polymarket ↗	1.2 pp
Emily Blunt Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	11.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0% Emily Blunt Open Kalshi ↗ 45.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 51.0% Emily Blunt Open Kalshi ↗	11.2% Bid 10.6% · Ask 11.8% Emily Blunt Open Polymarket ↗	—
Inde Navarrette Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	81.0% Bid 79.0% · Ask 81.0% Inde Navarrette Open Kalshi ↗ 4.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% Inde Navarrette Open Kalshi ↗ 70.5% Bid 61.0% · Ask 80.0% Inde Navarrette Open Kalshi ↗	79.0% Bid 78.0% · Ask 80.0% Inde Navarrette Open Polymarket ↗	—
Joan Collins Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 13.0% Joan Collins Open Kalshi ↗	4.3% Bid 2.6% · Ask 6.0% Joan Collins Open Polymarket ↗	0.7 pp
Julianne Moore Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	91.0% Bid 91.0% · Ask 96.0% Julianne Moore Open Kalshi ↗ 94.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 99.0% Julianne Moore Open Kalshi ↗	95.0% Bid 94.0% · Ask 96.0% Julianne Moore Open Polymarket ↗	—
Kirsten Dunst Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Kirsten Dunst Open Kalshi ↗	1.2% Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.2% Kirsten Dunst Open Polymarket ↗	4.8 pp
Laura Linney Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	9.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 9.0% Laura Linney Open Kalshi ↗	4.6% Bid 2.3% · Ask 6.9% Laura Linney Open Polymarket ↗	4.4 pp
Lily Gladstone Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Lily Gladstone Open Kalshi ↗	1.8% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.5% Lily Gladstone Open Polymarket ↗	0.8 pp
Michelle Monaghan Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Michelle Monaghan Open Kalshi ↗	5.1% Bid 1.6% · Ask 8.6% Michelle Monaghan Open Polymarket ↗	0.9 pp
Michelle Williams Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	7.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 7.0% Michelle Williams Open Kalshi ↗	6.3% Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.7% Michelle Williams Open Polymarket ↗	0.7 pp
Mikey Madison Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	7.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.0% Mikey Madison Open Kalshi ↗ 15.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 25.0% Mikey Madison Open Kalshi ↗	7.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 10.0% Mikey Madison Open Polymarket ↗	—
Natalie Portman Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Natalie Portman Open Kalshi ↗	6.4% Bid 5.3% · Ask 7.5% Natalie Portman Open Polymarket ↗	0.4 pp
Olivia Wilde Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	67.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 68.0% Olivia Wilde Open Kalshi ↗ 65.0% Bid 46.0% · Ask 65.0% Olivia Wilde Open Kalshi ↗	67.0% Bid 62.0% · Ask 72.0% Olivia Wilde Open Polymarket ↗	—
Penélope Cruz Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 8.0% Penélope Cruz Open Kalshi ↗ 75.0% Bid 74.0% · Ask 76.0% Penélope Cruz Open Kalshi ↗	5.9% Bid 3.3% · Ask 8.5% Penélope Cruz Open Polymarket ↗	—
Renate Reinsve Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	51.0% Bid 43.0% · Ask 51.0% Renate Reinsve Open Kalshi ↗ 44.0% Bid 36.0% · Ask 54.0% Renate Reinsve Open Kalshi ↗	48.0% Bid 46.0% · Ask 50.0% Renate Reinsve Open Polymarket ↗	—
Rosalind Eleazar Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	15.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 17.0% Rosalind Eleazar Open Kalshi ↗ 20.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 30.0% Rosalind Eleazar Open Kalshi ↗	12.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 15.0% Rosalind Eleazar Open Polymarket ↗	—
Ruth Madeley Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	44.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 44.0% Ruth Madeley Open Kalshi ↗ 63.0% Bid 59.0% · Ask 78.0% Ruth Madeley Open Kalshi ↗	44.5% Bid 42.0% · Ask 47.0% Ruth Madeley Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sandra Hüller Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	68.0% Bid 61.0% · Ask 68.0% Sandra Hüller Open Kalshi ↗ 25.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 25.0% Sandra Hüller Open Kalshi ↗ 55.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 60.0% Sandra Hüller Open Kalshi ↗	63.0% Bid 59.0% · Ask 67.0% Sandra Hüller Open Polymarket ↗	—
Scarlett Johansson Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	7.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 7.0% Scarlett Johansson Open Kalshi ↗	3.3% Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.5% Scarlett Johansson Open Polymarket ↗	3.8 pp
Shailene Woodley Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Shailene Woodley Open Kalshi ↗	2.9% Bid 0.3% · Ask 5.5% Shailene Woodley Open Polymarket ↗	3.1 pp
Sophie Okonedo Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	7.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0% Sophie Okonedo Open Kalshi ↗	6.5% Bid 4.9% · Ask 8.0% Sophie Okonedo Open Polymarket ↗	0.6 pp
Virginie Efira Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	44.0% Bid 40.0% · Ask 44.0% Virginie Efira Open Kalshi ↗ 49.0% Bid 49.0% · Ask 65.0% Virginie Efira Open Kalshi ↗	41.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 44.0% Virginie Efira Open Polymarket ↗	—
Zendaya Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Zendaya Open Kalshi ↗ 14.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 14.0% Zendaya Open Kalshi ↗	4.3% Bid 3.2% · Ask 5.5% Zendaya Open Polymarket ↗	—
Amanda Seyfried Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	62.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 62.0% Amanda Seyfried Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Betty Gilpin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 8.0% Betty Gilpin Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Carrie Coon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 23.0% Carrie Coon Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Danielle Deadwyler Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.0% Danielle Deadwyler Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Gemma Chan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 8.0% Gemma Chan Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Isabella Rossellini Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 7.0% Isabella Rossellini Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jeon Do-yeon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 30.0% Jeon Do-yeon Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Kate O'Flynn Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	38.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 38.0% Kate O'Flynn Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Léa Seydoux Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 29.0% Léa Seydoux Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Margaret Qualley Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 8.0% Margaret Qualley Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Mariana di Girolamo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	34.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 35.0% Mariana di Girolamo Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Marion Bailey Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 11.0% Marion Bailey Open Kalshi ↗ 20.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 30.0% Marion Bailey Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Mason Reeves Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 30.0% Mason Reeves Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Merritt Wever Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 23.0% Merritt Wever Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Olivia Colman Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	41.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 41.0% Olivia Colman Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Parker Posey Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 21.0% Parker Posey Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Samantha Morton Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	78.0% Bid 77.0% · Ask 79.0% Samantha Morton Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Tao Okamoto Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	66.0% Bid 64.0% · Ask 66.0% Tao Okamoto Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Anne Hathaway

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0%

Anne Hathaway

Oscars 2027: Best Actress Nominations

Kalshi

Polymarket

Anne Hathaway

Kalshi

Polymarket

Cynthia Erivo

Kalshi

Polymarket

Daisy Edgar-Jones

Kalshi

Polymarket

Dakota Johnson

Kalshi

Polymarket

Emily Blunt

Kalshi

Polymarket

Inde Navarrette

Kalshi

Polymarket

Joan Collins

Kalshi

Polymarket

Julianne Moore

Kalshi

Polymarket

Kirsten Dunst

Kalshi

Polymarket

Laura Linney

Kalshi

Polymarket

Lily Gladstone

Kalshi

Polymarket

Michelle Monaghan

Kalshi

Polymarket

Michelle Williams

Kalshi

Polymarket

Mikey Madison

Kalshi

Polymarket

Natalie Portman

Kalshi

Polymarket

Olivia Wilde

Kalshi

Polymarket

Penélope Cruz

Kalshi

Polymarket

Renate Reinsve

Kalshi

Polymarket

Rosalind Eleazar

Kalshi

Polymarket

Ruth Madeley

Kalshi

Polymarket

Sandra Hüller

Kalshi

Polymarket

Scarlett Johansson

Kalshi

Polymarket

Shailene Woodley

Kalshi

Polymarket

Sophie Okonedo

Kalshi

Polymarket

Virginie Efira

Kalshi

Polymarket

Zendaya

Kalshi