Market comparison
Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Nominations
2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 15 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active
Kalshi
Open venue ↗45 outcomes · $89K reported volume
Observed 1m ago
Observed 2m ago
Observed 2m ago
Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027
Polymarket
Open venue ↗15 outcomes · $21K reported volume
Observed 1m ago
Recorded venue end date: Mar 15, 2027
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
All of a Sudden Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Clarissa Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Cry to Heaven Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Dune: Part Three Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Ink Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Project Hail Mary Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Saturn Return Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
The Black Ball Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
The Invite Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
The Odyssey Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
The Social Reckoning Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
The Whisper Man Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Toy Story 5 Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Wildwood Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | — | ||
Being Heumann Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Fatherland Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
La Bola Negra Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Primetime Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
All of a Sudden
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Clarissa
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Cry to Heaven
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Dune: Part Three
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Ink
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Project Hail Mary
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Saturn Return
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The Black Ball
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The Invite
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The Odyssey
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The Social Reckoning
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
The Whisper Man
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Toy Story 5
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Wildwood
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Being Heumann
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Fatherland
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
La Bola Negra
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Primetime
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.