The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Oscars 2027: Best Cinematography Nominations

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 9 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

36 outcomes · $45K reported volume

Observed 34s ago

Observed 34s ago

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 15, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Digger

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 26.0%

Digger

Open Kalshi ↗

6.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.0%

Digger

Open Kalshi ↗

26.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 30.0%

Digger

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

25.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 38.0%

Digger

Open Polymarket ↗

Dune: Part Three

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

89.0%

Bid 88.0% · Ask 92.0%

Dune: Part Three

Open Kalshi ↗

19.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 23.0%

Dune: Part Three

Open Kalshi ↗

85.0%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 90.0%

Dune: Part Three

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

91.5%

Bid 91.0% · Ask 92.0%

Dune: Part Three

Open Polymarket ↗

Fatherland

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Fatherland

Open Kalshi ↗

28.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 40.0%

Fatherland

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

51.5%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 52.0%

Fatherland

Open Polymarket ↗

Josephine

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 13.0%

Josephine

Open Kalshi ↗

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Josephine

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

12.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 13.0%

Josephine

Open Polymarket ↗

Obsession

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 19.0%

Obsession

Open Kalshi ↗

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Obsession

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

15.5%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 17.0%

Obsession

Open Polymarket ↗

Project Hail Mary

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

60.0%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 60.0%

Project Hail Mary

Open Kalshi ↗

6.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.0%

Project Hail Mary

Open Kalshi ↗

85.0%

Bid 67.0% · Ask 85.0%

Project Hail Mary

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

61.5%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 64.0%

Project Hail Mary

Open Polymarket ↗

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 17.0%

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Open Kalshi ↗

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Open Kalshi ↗

26.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 30.0%

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

15.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0%

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Open Polymarket ↗

The Odyssey

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

96.0%

Bid 93.0% · Ask 97.0%

The Odyssey

Open Kalshi ↗

65.0%

Bid 65.0% · Ask 68.0%

The Odyssey

Open Kalshi ↗

89.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 89.0%

The Odyssey

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

93.5%

Bid 93.0% · Ask 94.0%

The Odyssey

Open Polymarket ↗

Werwulf

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 57.0%

Werwulf

Open Kalshi ↗

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Werwulf

Open Kalshi ↗

60.5%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 70.0%

Werwulf

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

55.5%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 58.0%

Werwulf

Open Polymarket ↗

1949 / Fatherland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

45.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 51.0%

1949 / Fatherland

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Behemoth!

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 45.0%

Behemoth!

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Disclosure Day

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

Disclosure Day

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Fjord

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 40.0%

Fjord

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ink

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

Ink

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

La Bola Negra

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

70.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 80.0%

La Bola Negra

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Minotaur

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

Minotaur

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Rose

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

Rose

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

The Whisper Man

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 14.0%

The Whisper Man

Open Kalshi ↗

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

The Whisper Man

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Tie

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Tie

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Wild Horse Nine

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

41.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 54.0%

Wild Horse Nine

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.