The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Nominations

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 11 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $22K reported volume

Observed 16s ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 15, 2027

31 outcomes · $25K reported volume

Observed 16s ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 3, 2028

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Digger

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

12.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0%

Digger

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 25.0%

Digger

Open Kalshi ↗

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Digger

Open Kalshi ↗

Dune: Part Three

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

73.0%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 75.0%

Dune: Part Three

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 90.0%

Dune: Part Three

Open Kalshi ↗

7.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 11.0%

Dune: Part Three

Open Kalshi ↗

I Love Boosters

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

50.5%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 66.0%

I Love Boosters

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

41.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 51.0%

I Love Boosters

Open Kalshi ↗

14.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 14.0%

I Love Boosters

Open Kalshi ↗

Michael

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

36.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 57.0%

Michael

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

Michael

Open Kalshi ↗

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Michael

Open Kalshi ↗

Sense and Sensibility

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

59.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 72.0%

Sense and Sensibility

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 90.0%

Sense and Sensibility

Open Kalshi ↗

5.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 11.0%

Sense and Sensibility

Open Kalshi ↗

The Devil Wears Prada 2

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 63.0%

The Devil Wears Prada 2

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

The Devil Wears Prada 2

Open Kalshi ↗

5.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

The Devil Wears Prada 2

Open Kalshi ↗

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0%

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 29.0%

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Open Kalshi ↗

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Open Kalshi ↗

The Odyssey

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

83.0%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 89.0%

The Odyssey

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 90.0%

The Odyssey

Open Kalshi ↗

53.0%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 54.0%

The Odyssey

Open Kalshi ↗

Werwulf

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

45.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 55.0%

Werwulf

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

73.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 90.0%

Werwulf

Open Kalshi ↗

4.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.0%

Werwulf

Open Kalshi ↗

Wild Horse Nine

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

34.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 55.0%

Wild Horse Nine

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 37.0%

Wild Horse Nine

Open Kalshi ↗

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Wild Horse Nine

Open Kalshi ↗

Wuthering Heights

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

32.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 54.0%

Wuthering Heights

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 31.0%

Wuthering Heights

Open Kalshi ↗

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Wuthering Heights

Open Kalshi ↗

Disclosure Day

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 25.0%

Disclosure Day

Open Kalshi ↗

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Disclosure Day

Open Kalshi ↗

Fatherland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

Fatherland

Open Kalshi ↗

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Fatherland

Open Kalshi ↗

La Bola Negra

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 90.0%

La Bola Negra

Open Kalshi ↗

6.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0%

La Bola Negra

Open Kalshi ↗

Project Hail Mary

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

Project Hail Mary

Open Kalshi ↗

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Project Hail Mary

Open Kalshi ↗

The Black Ball

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

81.3%

Bid 72.1% · Ask 90.6%

The Black Ball

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Tie

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Tie

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.