The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Winner

2 venues · 43 outcome rows · 11 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

31 outcomes · $25K reported volume

Observed 43s ago

Observed 43s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 3, 2028

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

39 outcomes · $12K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 14, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Digger

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 25.0%

Digger

Open Kalshi ↗

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Digger

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.0%

Digger

Open Polymarket ↗

Dune: Part Three

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 90.0%

Dune: Part Three

Open Kalshi ↗

7.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 11.0%

Dune: Part Three

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

13.2%

Bid 6.4% · Ask 19.9%

Dune: Part Three

Open Polymarket ↗

I Love Boosters

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

41.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 51.0%

I Love Boosters

Open Kalshi ↗

14.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 14.0%

I Love Boosters

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.7%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 5.2%

I Love Boosters

Open Polymarket ↗

Michael

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

Michael

Open Kalshi ↗

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Michael

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.4%

Michael

Open Polymarket ↗

Sense and Sensibility

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 90.0%

Sense and Sensibility

Open Kalshi ↗

5.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 11.0%

Sense and Sensibility

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

8.4%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 16.2%

Sense and Sensibility

Open Polymarket ↗

The Devil Wears Prada 2

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

The Devil Wears Prada 2

Open Kalshi ↗

5.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

The Devil Wears Prada 2

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.4%

The Devil Wears Prada 2

Open Polymarket ↗

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 28.0%

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Open Kalshi ↗

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.4%

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Open Polymarket ↗

The Odyssey

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 90.0%

The Odyssey

Open Kalshi ↗

53.0%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 54.0%

The Odyssey

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

58.5%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 61.0%

The Odyssey

Open Polymarket ↗

Werwulf

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

73.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 90.0%

Werwulf

Open Kalshi ↗

4.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.0%

Werwulf

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

7.6%

Bid 3.3% · Ask 12.0%

Werwulf

Open Polymarket ↗

Wild Horse Nine

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 36.0%

Wild Horse Nine

Open Kalshi ↗

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Wild Horse Nine

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Wild Horse Nine

Open Polymarket ↗

Wuthering Heights

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 31.0%

Wuthering Heights

Open Kalshi ↗

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Wuthering Heights

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 15.7%

Wuthering Heights

Open Polymarket ↗

Disclosure Day

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 25.0%

Disclosure Day

Open Kalshi ↗

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Disclosure Day

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Fatherland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

Fatherland

Open Kalshi ↗

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Fatherland

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

La Bola Negra

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 90.0%

La Bola Negra

Open Kalshi ↗

6.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0%

La Bola Negra

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Movie A

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie A · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie B · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie C

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie C · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie D

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie D · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie E

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie E · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie F

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie F · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie G

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie G · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie H

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie H · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie I

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie I · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie J

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie J · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie K · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie L

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie L · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie M · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie N

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie N · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie O

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie O · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie P

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie P · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie Q

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie Q · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie R

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie R · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie S

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie S · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie T

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie T · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie U

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie U · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie V

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie V · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie W

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie W · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie X

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie X · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie Y

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie Y · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Movie Z

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie Z · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Project Hail Mary

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

Project Hail Mary

Open Kalshi ↗

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Project Hail Mary

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

The Black Ball

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

22.4%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 27.9%

The Black Ball

Open Polymarket ↗

Tie

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Tie

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.