The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Oscars 2027: Best Film Editing Nominations

2 venues · 38 outcome rows · 13 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

39 outcomes · $123K reported volume

Observed 40s ago

Observed 40s ago

Observed 40s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $35K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 15, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Club Kid

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

Club Kid

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 8.0%

Club Kid

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 14.5 pp

Digger

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

Digger

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 17.0%

Digger

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 4.0 pp

Dune: Part Three

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

53.0%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 70.0%

Dune: Part Three

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

58.0%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 68.0%

Dune: Part Three

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 5.0 pp

Elsinore

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

Elsinore

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 15.0%

Elsinore

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 6.0 pp

Fjord

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 86.0%

Fjord

Open Kalshi ↗

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

Fjord

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

30.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 49.0%

Fjord

Open Polymarket ↗

Ink

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

Ink

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0%

Ink

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 6.5 pp

Project Hail Mary

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

55.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 55.0%

Project Hail Mary

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

38.5%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 49.0%

Project Hail Mary

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 16.5 pp

The Black Ball

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 98.0% · Ask 99.0%

The Black Ball

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

80.5%

Bid 79.0% · Ask 82.0%

The Black Ball

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 18.5 pp

The Debut

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

The Debut

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

34.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 35.0%

The Debut

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 14.0 pp

The Invite

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

60.0%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 70.0%

The Invite

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

21.6%

Bid 10.1% · Ask 33.0%

The Invite

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 38.4 pp

The Odyssey

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

90.0%

Bid 90.0% · Ask 94.0%

The Odyssey

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

84.5%

Bid 83.0% · Ask 86.0%

The Odyssey

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 5.5 pp

Wild Horse Nine

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

70.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 80.0%

Wild Horse Nine

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

63.5%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 71.0%

Wild Horse Nine

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 6.5 pp

You Can See Everything

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

56.0%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 70.0%

You Can See Everything

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

69.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 93.0%

You Can See Everything

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 13.0 pp

1949 / Fatherland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

43.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 49.0%

1949 / Fatherland

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

All of a Sudden

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

94.0%

Bid 92.0% · Ask 94.0%

All of a Sudden

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bitter Christmas

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 11.0%

Bitter Christmas

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Coward

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 21.0%

Coward

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Forgotten Island

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

59.0%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 59.0%

Forgotten Island

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hope

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0%

Hope

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hoppers

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 50.0%

Hoppers

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

I Play Rocky

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

I Play Rocky

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Iron Boy

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

60.0%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 60.0%

Iron Boy

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

La Bola Negra

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 90.0%

La Bola Negra

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Minions & Monsters

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0%

Minions & Monsters

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Minotaur

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 53.0%

Minotaur

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Parallel Tales

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Parallel Tales

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Possible Love

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

73.0%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 78.0%

Possible Love

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ray Gunn

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

68.0%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 69.0%

Ray Gunn

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Rose

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 37.0%

Rose

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 38.0%

Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Sheep in the Box

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0%

Sheep in the Box

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Tangles

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

36.0%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 43.0%

Tangles

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

The Beloved

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 11.0%

The Beloved

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

The Dreamed Adventure

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 13.0%

The Dreamed Adventure

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

The Man I Love

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

The Man I Love

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

The Social Reckoning

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

The Social Reckoning

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Toy Story 5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

87.0%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 89.0%

Toy Story 5

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Wildwood

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 91.0%

Wildwood

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.