The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Nominations

2 venues · 30 outcome rows · 9 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

35 outcomes · $126K reported volume

Observed 41s ago

Observed 41s ago

Observed 41s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $15K reported volume

Observed 41s ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 15, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

All of a Sudden

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

95.0%

Bid 89.0% · Ask 95.0%

All of a Sudden

Open Kalshi ↗

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

All of a Sudden

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

95.3%

Bid 91.9% · Ask 98.6%

All of a Sudden

Open Polymarket ↗

Coward

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 21.0%

Coward

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Coward

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

17.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 19.0%

Coward

Open Polymarket ↗

Fatherland

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Fatherland

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

39.5%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 51.0%

Fatherland

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 37.5 pp

Fjord

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 86.0%

Fjord

Open Kalshi ↗

14.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 15.0%

Fjord

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

91.0%

Bid 90.0% · Ask 92.0%

Fjord

Open Polymarket ↗

Minotaur

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 53.0%

Minotaur

Open Kalshi ↗

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Minotaur

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

52.5%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 59.0%

Minotaur

Open Polymarket ↗

Possible Love

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

73.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 80.0%

Possible Love

Open Kalshi ↗

5.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0%

Possible Love

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

75.5%

Bid 67.0% · Ask 84.0%

Possible Love

Open Polymarket ↗

Rose

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 37.0%

Rose

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

30.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 44.0%

Rose

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.0 pp

The Black Ball

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 98.0% · Ask 99.0%

The Black Ball

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

98.9%

Bid 98.7% · Ask 99.0%

The Black Ball

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

The Dreamed Adventure

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 13.0%

The Dreamed Adventure

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 8.0%

The Dreamed Adventure

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.0 pp

1949 / Fatherland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

43.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 49.0%

1949 / Fatherland

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bitter Christmas

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 11.0%

Bitter Christmas

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Everytime

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0%

Everytime

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Feito Pipa

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Feito Pipa

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Forgotten Island

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

59.0%

Bid 54.0% · Ask 61.0%

Forgotten Island

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hope

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0%

Hope

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hoppers

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

44.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 52.0%

Hoppers

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Iron Boy

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

61.0%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 61.0%

Iron Boy

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

La Bola Negra

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

79.0%

Bid 78.0% · Ask 79.0%

La Bola Negra

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Minions & Monsters

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 15.0%

Minions & Monsters

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Parallel Tales

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Parallel Tales

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ray Gunn

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

68.0%

Bid 65.0% · Ask 70.0%

Ray Gunn

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 39.0%

Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Sheep in the Box

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0%

Sheep in the Box

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Tangles

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

36.0%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 43.0%

Tangles

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

The Beloved

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 11.0%

The Beloved

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

The Man I Love

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

The Man I Love

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

The Spiral

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0%

The Spiral

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Tie

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Tie

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Toy Story 5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

90.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 93.0%

Toy Story 5

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Wildwood

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

87.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 92.0%

Wildwood

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.