The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Oscars 2027: Best Makeup and Hairstyling Nominations

2 venues · 21 outcome rows · 13 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

42 outcomes · $62K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Observed 1m ago

Observed 27s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $12K reported volume

Observed 27s ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 15, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Clayface

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

39.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 46.0%

Clayface

Open Kalshi ↗

11.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 11.0%

Clayface

Open Kalshi ↗

49.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 57.0%

Clayface

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

43.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 51.0%

Clayface

Open Polymarket ↗

Cry to Heaven

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Cry to Heaven

Open Kalshi ↗

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Cry to Heaven

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 2.5%

Cry to Heaven

Open Polymarket ↗

Digger

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

67.0%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 72.0%

Digger

Open Kalshi ↗

16.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 17.0%

Digger

Open Kalshi ↗

55.0%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 70.0%

Digger

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

68.5%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 84.0%

Digger

Open Polymarket ↗

Dune: Part Three

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

64.0%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 70.0%

Dune: Part Three

Open Kalshi ↗

6.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.0%

Dune: Part Three

Open Kalshi ↗

62.0%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 69.0%

Dune: Part Three

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

63.0%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 64.0%

Dune: Part Three

Open Polymarket ↗

I Love Boosters

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 15.0%

I Love Boosters

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

I Love Boosters

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

12.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0%

I Love Boosters

Open Polymarket ↗

Madden

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 26.0%

Madden

Open Kalshi ↗

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Madden

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 18.0%

Madden

Open Polymarket ↗

Michael

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 35.0%

Michael

Open Kalshi ↗

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Michael

Open Kalshi ↗

32.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 43.0%

Michael

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

23.5%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 25.0%

Michael

Open Polymarket ↗

Rose

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 25.0%

Rose

Open Kalshi ↗

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Rose

Open Kalshi ↗

25.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 40.0%

Rose

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

22.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 23.0%

Rose

Open Polymarket ↗

The Odyssey

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

77.0%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 80.0%

The Odyssey

Open Kalshi ↗

18.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 21.0%

The Odyssey

Open Kalshi ↗

83.5%

Bid 74.0% · Ask 93.0%

The Odyssey

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

83.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 85.0%

The Odyssey

Open Polymarket ↗

The Social Reckoning

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 18.0%

The Social Reckoning

Open Kalshi ↗

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

The Social Reckoning

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 8.0%

The Social Reckoning

Open Polymarket ↗

UNABOMBER

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0%

UNABOMBER

Open Kalshi ↗

1.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

UNABOMBER

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 8.0%

UNABOMBER

Open Polymarket ↗

Werwulf

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

88.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 89.0%

Werwulf

Open Kalshi ↗

37.0%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 41.0%

Werwulf

Open Kalshi ↗

95.0%

Bid 91.0% · Ask 99.0%

Werwulf

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

89.0%

Bid 88.0% · Ask 90.0%

Werwulf

Open Polymarket ↗

Wicker

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

62.0%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 70.0%

Wicker

Open Kalshi ↗

9.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 12.0%

Wicker

Open Kalshi ↗

50.0%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 69.0%

Wicker

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

60.5%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 61.0%

Wicker

Open Polymarket ↗

Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

28.5%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 38.0%

Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Elsinore

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

27.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 37.0%

Elsinore

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

I Play Rocky

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 18.0%

I Play Rocky

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

ISG)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

27.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 37.0%

:: (ISG)

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

La Bola Negra

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

28.5%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 38.0%

La Bola Negra

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

The Bride

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

26.5%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 36.0%

The Bride

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

27.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 37.0%

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Tie

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Tie

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.