The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations

2 venues · 22 outcome rows · 12 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

41 outcomes · $80K reported volume

Observed 19s ago

Observed 19s ago

Observed 19s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $33K reported volume

Observed 19s ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 15, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Behemoth!

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

34.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 34.0%

Behemoth!

Open Kalshi ↗

65.0%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 75.0%

Behemoth!

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

28.5%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 29.0%

Behemoth!

Open Polymarket ↗

Disclosure Day

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

62.0%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 66.0%

Disclosure Day

Open Kalshi ↗

5.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 11.0%

Disclosure Day

Open Kalshi ↗

64.0%

Bid 54.0% · Ask 74.0%

Disclosure Day

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

68.5%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 80.0%

Disclosure Day

Open Polymarket ↗

Dune: Part Three

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

64.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 70.0%

Dune: Part Three

Open Kalshi ↗

21.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 21.0%

Dune: Part Three

Open Kalshi ↗

71.0%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 77.0%

Dune: Part Three

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

64.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 67.0%

Dune: Part Three

Open Polymarket ↗

Project Hail Mary

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

62.0%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 62.0%

Project Hail Mary

Open Kalshi ↗

6.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.0%

Project Hail Mary

Open Kalshi ↗

90.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 90.0%

Project Hail Mary

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

52.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 55.0%

Project Hail Mary

Open Polymarket ↗

The Black Ball

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

69.0%

Bid 67.0% · Ask 73.0%

The Black Ball

Open Kalshi ↗

6.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0%

The Black Ball

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

79.0%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 87.0%

The Black Ball

Open Polymarket ↗

The Drama

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 9.0%

The Drama

Open Kalshi ↗

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

The Drama

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 2.7% · Ask 6.3%

The Drama

Open Polymarket ↗

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 16.0%

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Open Kalshi ↗

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Open Kalshi ↗

25.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 35.0%

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 15.0%

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Open Polymarket ↗

The Mandalorian and Grogu

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

The Mandalorian and Grogu

Open Kalshi ↗

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

The Mandalorian and Grogu

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

The Mandalorian and Grogu

Open Polymarket ↗

The Odyssey

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

87.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 93.0%

The Odyssey

Open Kalshi ↗

63.0%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 66.0%

The Odyssey

Open Kalshi ↗

99.0%

Bid 92.0% · Ask 100.0%

The Odyssey

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

95.5%

Bid 94.0% · Ask 97.0%

The Odyssey

Open Polymarket ↗

The Social Reckoning

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.0%

The Social Reckoning

Open Kalshi ↗

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

The Social Reckoning

Open Kalshi ↗

15.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 25.0%

The Social Reckoning

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0%

The Social Reckoning

Open Polymarket ↗

Whalefall

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 16.0%

Whalefall

Open Kalshi ↗

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Whalefall

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

7.6%

Bid 6.4% · Ask 8.9%

Whalefall

Open Polymarket ↗

Wild Horse Nine

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 33.0%

Wild Horse Nine

Open Kalshi ↗

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Wild Horse Nine

Open Kalshi ↗

35.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 43.0%

Wild Horse Nine

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

28.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 29.0%

Wild Horse Nine

Open Polymarket ↗

Cry to Heaven

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.0%

Cry to Heaven

Open Kalshi ↗

4.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.0%

Cry to Heaven

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Digger

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

Digger

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ink

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 35.0%

Ink

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

La Bola Negra

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

79.0%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 79.0%

La Bola Negra

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ray Gunn

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

20.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 30.0%

Ray Gunn

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

The Debut

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

35.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 45.0%

The Debut

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Tie

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0%

Tie

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Toy Story 5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 25.0%

Toy Story 5

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Werwulf

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 25.0%

Werwulf

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

You Can See Everything

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

26.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 47.0%

You Can See Everything

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.